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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#17A 1:00 am EDT
16.1N 71.7W
Wind: 150MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Wnw at 22 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge
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allan
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion)
      Fri Jul 18 2008 10:08 AM

94L has gotten much better organized and might I point out what scottsvb said earlier that it won't do anything until it reaches 70W or 72W which he was right. It had to get away from South America to organize. Earlier I though a new low was developing to the west of the convection, though it seems I was wrong and the low might be under the heaviest convection. Navy has it located 71W and 13.7N. Models continue to push northward and now put Texas and even Luisiana on the possibility. Still too far out but as 94L slowly starts to organize, we will know more on the track, a Tropical Depression can form at any given time according to the latest discussion from the NHC. Basicaly just needs a closed low and there, you have a TD.

If you are going to discuss model output, put it in the Forecast Lounge. Post moved.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jul 19 2008 12:41 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter Fri Jul 18 2008 10:08 AM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Rich B   Tue Jul 22 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Recon Sophie   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 09:29 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 05:32 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 23 2008 07:20 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Cooper   Wed Jul 23 2008 07:40 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 23 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon Old Sailor   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon WeatherNut   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:17 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:20 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge ritavet   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:22 AM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 20 2008 08:18 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 09:18 AM
. * * Re: 94L Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 08:52 AM
. * * Re: 94L islandtime   Sun Jul 20 2008 02:47 PM
. * * Re: 94L dat_weather_guy   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 19 2008 09:18 PM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew weatherguy08   Sat Jul 19 2008 09:12 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew weatherguy08   Sat Jul 19 2008 10:34 PM
. * * think it looks better tonight/now than for a while LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 12:12 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew Random Chaos   Sat Jul 19 2008 07:34 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew cieldumort   Sat Jul 19 2008 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) allan   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:08 AM
. * * Re: GOM...Close to Home allan   Wed Jul 16 2008 11:07 AM
. * * Re: GOM...Close to Home rmbjoe1954   Wed Jul 16 2008 11:01 AM

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