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Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge
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weatherguy08
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 60
Loc: Miami, Fla.
Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean
      Fri Jul 18 2008 10:47 AM

The models take 94L on a path very similar to Hurricane Emily back in 2005. She took a very "low" path and went across the Yucatan Peninsula then into Mexico just south of the US-Mexico border. Coincidently, Emily was about this time of year (mid July). I also have been noticing that the models have been gradually shifting farther and farther north. It doesn't appear that this is going to be like Dean or Felix and take a straight-line path into central America. Assuming it develops, this could be one for the Gulf Coast to keep an eye on.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter Fri Jul 18 2008 10:47 AM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Rich B   Tue Jul 22 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Recon Sophie   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 09:29 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 05:32 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 23 2008 07:20 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Cooper   Wed Jul 23 2008 07:40 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Wed Jul 23 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Recon Old Sailor   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon WeatherNut   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:17 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:20 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge ritavet   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:22 AM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 20 2008 08:18 PM
. * * Re: 'Dolly' Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 09:18 AM
. * * Re: 94L Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 08:52 AM
. * * Re: 94L islandtime   Sun Jul 20 2008 02:47 PM
. * * Re: 94L dat_weather_guy   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast Storm Hunter   Sat Jul 19 2008 09:18 PM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew weatherguy08   Sat Jul 19 2008 09:12 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew weatherguy08   Sat Jul 19 2008 10:34 PM
. * * think it looks better tonight/now than for a while LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 12:12 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew Random Chaos   Sat Jul 19 2008 07:34 AM
. * * Re: 94L and TD3 the Crystal Ball crew cieldumort   Sat Jul 19 2008 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean weatherguy08   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:47 AM
. * * Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) allan   Fri Jul 18 2008 10:08 AM
. * * Re: GOM...Close to Home allan   Wed Jul 16 2008 11:07 AM
. * * Re: GOM...Close to Home rmbjoe1954   Wed Jul 16 2008 11:01 AM

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