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Recon has departed Keesler to check out #93L in the SW Gulf. #92L is now just inland along SE GA coast. June systems can dump lots of rain.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 297 (Idalia) , Major: 297 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 297 (Idalia) Major: 297 (Idalia)
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Random Chaos
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean
      Fri Jul 18 2008 05:57 PM

For those not paying attention to Bertha anymore, it's back to a hurricane. IR looks good, but as NHC said, it's heading into cool waters and should only weaken. Very strong eye visible on IR. Wonder how long she'll hold on before coming extratropical.

The system off Georgia's coast (96L) currently has a 1.5 Dvorak rating. The GFDL model is taking it due north into South Carolina. I think the biggest question with this system, like 95L earlier in the week, is whether it will have a chance to even become a Tropical Depression before making landfall. I think a lot of this is whether it actually makes landfall. If you check out the various model tracks, you'll see that a number either keep it out to sea or right along the coast. I suspect a lot of this discrepancy is exactly where each model places the center of the low. With a hurricane hunter heading out, we should have better model runs tomorrow on the system, if it isn't already overland by then.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cristobal Lounge Hugh Fri Jul 18 2008 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast weathernet   Sat Jul 19 2008 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast and Central Caribbean Random Chaos   Fri Jul 18 2008 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Charleston, SC AM Discussion (Portion) ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 18 2008 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast Hugh   Thu Jul 17 2008 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Focus on Low off Georgia Coast Storm Hunter   Thu Jul 17 2008 10:41 PM

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