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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
Meteorologist

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Posts: 576

Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast
Sat Jul 19 2008 11:31 PM

Quote:

I think the reason why 94L hasn't developed is because it still has too much African dust or dry air entrained in its circulation. I have also never seen such a strong tropical wave go across the entire Atlantic in favorable conditions and not develop. If this storm doesn't develop then I don't know how any storm can develop. Why can't the circulation get down to the surface? Is it the African dust and dry air impeding development?

Saharan dust is not the culprit, if that helps. There really is not enough evidence that this system has been contaminated by that particular form of toxicity. This system was weak originally, a weak wave that had very little momentum while east of the Windwards. It did gain though, via a favorable large scale environment, which guided good convective explosions; such that upon entering the eastern Caribbean, and despite climatology, it gained some, but at that time 95L was in the western Caribbean. That was problematic because the outflow from all that unorganized convection was creating west to northwesterly shear, and this substantially retarded growth potential. Now that 95L is removed from the field, we've seen better convection displays since, but it became very much like starting over again. Bottom line...timing of evolution of environmental factors - not including SAL (Saharan Air Layer) - are the main reasons.

It should be noted that most models do suggest development from these time points and looking forward.

John

Edited by typhoon_tip (Sat Jul 19 2008 11:32 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Cristobal Named off South Carolina Coast	MikeC	Sat Jul 19 2008 11:31 PM
Recon	danielw	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:34 PM
Re: 94L	craigm	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:33 PM
Re: Texas Definitely In It..check out 5 day cone	scottsvb	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:32 PM
Re: Texas Definitely In It..check out 5 day cone	Beaumont, TX	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:10 PM
Re: Texas Definitely In It..check out 5 day cone	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:07 PM
Texas Definitely In It..check out 5 day cone	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:03 PM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:01 PM
Re: 94L	scottsvb	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:55 AM
Re: 94L	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:44 AM
Re: 94L	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:43 AM
Re: 94L	WeatherNut	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:41 AM
Re: 94L	Texas Cane Tracker	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:39 AM
Re: 94L	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:29 AM
Re: 94L	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:28 AM
Re: 94L	cieldumort	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:15 AM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:12 AM
Re: 94L	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:08 AM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:04 AM
Re: 94L	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:03 AM
Re: 94L	cieldumort	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:03 AM
Re: 94L	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:00 AM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:58 AM
Re: 94L	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:56 AM
Re: 94L	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:49 AM
Re: 94L	Freezey	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:45 AM
Re: Cristobal Named off South Carolina Coast	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:35 AM
Re: Cristobal Named off South Carolina Coast	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:26 AM
Re: 94L	craigm	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:23 AM
Re: Cristobal Named off South Carolina Coast	cieldumort	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:19 AM
Re: 94L	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:37 AM
Re: 94L	allan	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:26 AM
Re: 94L	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:03 AM
Re: 94L	cieldumort	Sun Jul 20 2008 04:05 AM
Re: 94L	Storm Hunter	Sun Jul 20 2008 02:43 AM
Re: 94L	scottsvb	Sun Jul 20 2008 02:10 AM
94L	danielw	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:09 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 19 2008 11:31 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 19 2008 10:42 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Storm Hunter	Sat Jul 19 2008 09:41 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Brett Addison	Sat Jul 19 2008 09:39 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 19 2008 09:02 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Ed Dunham	Sat Jul 19 2008 08:40 PM
Using QuikSCAT images	cieldumort	Sat Jul 19 2008 07:57 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 19 2008 07:17 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Storm Hunter	Sat Jul 19 2008 06:48 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	MichaelA	Sat Jul 19 2008 06:25 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	JoshuaK	Sat Jul 19 2008 05:53 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Storm Hunter	Sat Jul 19 2008 04:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Hugh	Sat Jul 19 2008 04:26 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Storm Hunter	Sat Jul 19 2008 02:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	weatherguy08	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:55 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	cieldumort	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:37 PM
Administrative Note	Ed Dunham	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:30 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	scottsvb	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:15 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Brett Addison	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:12 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	Ed in Va	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:04 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	craigm	Sat Jul 19 2008 01:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	scottsvb	Sat Jul 19 2008 12:47 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	DarleneCane	Sat Jul 19 2008 12:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast	metwannabe	Sat Jul 19 2008 09:59 AM

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