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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

MikeC
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical
Sun Jul 20 2008 06:05 PM

Quote:

water vapor loop shows a "surge" of moisture northwestard from Yucatan Channel towards southern tip of La. Could this be some indication of a continued movement to the NW? If so, it sure looks like the center would have to make a westward jog to actually cross land tonight.

This is a danger with the system not really as full developed as it should be. 94L has been "almost forming" for about a week now, and now that it seemingly has its still having some of that old behavior. I believe it will go pretty much on track for the next 24 hours or so, the suspense moment this evening is if something wild like forming closer to the Mid-Level Circulation, which more convection is firing at right now. Since recon really didn't get a good handle on the track, watching this closely in the evening will be interesting.

That said the entire cone needs to be watching this one. I dislike storms that haven't completely formed less than fully developed ones because it's a bit of a wildcard for track forecasting in certain situations, and this is one of them. Last year was the land of westward ho for these Caribbean storms, this year I'm not wagering on a repeat.

However, the ridge to the north should keep it from moving too far to the north, so I think the Hurricane Center's forecast is pretty reasonable.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Jul 20 2008 06:36 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
TS Dolly Over Cancun, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:05 PM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Hugh	Mon Jul 21 2008 06:51 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:39 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	danielw	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:33 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	scottsvb	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:30 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:22 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Beaumont, TX	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:20 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:16 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:11 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	danielw	Mon Jul 21 2008 02:04 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 01:45 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	scottsvb	Mon Jul 21 2008 01:03 AM
Re: NHC Storm Movement	MikeC	Mon Jul 21 2008 01:01 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 12:40 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	scottsvb	Mon Jul 21 2008 12:36 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Storm Hunter	Mon Jul 21 2008 12:29 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 21 2008 12:22 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	typhoon_tip	Mon Jul 21 2008 12:20 AM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Storm Hunter	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:52 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	metwannabe	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:42 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	LDH892	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:42 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:16 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:12 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:08 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:03 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 20 2008 11:00 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:58 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:50 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weathernet	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:48 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:46 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Beaumont, TX	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:44 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:43 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Freezey	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:43 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:42 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:38 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:28 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weathernet	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:23 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:21 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weatherguy08	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:20 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:17 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:14 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weathernet	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:13 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:11 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weathernet	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:06 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Brett Addison	Sun Jul 20 2008 10:05 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	craigm	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:48 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:41 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:31 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	okihabu	Sun Jul 20 2008 09:19 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	craigm	Sun Jul 20 2008 07:52 PM
Re: 200mb Level Winds near Dolly	LoisCane	Sun Jul 20 2008 07:45 PM
200mb Level Winds near Dolly	danielw	Sun Jul 20 2008 07:06 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Storm Hunter	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:46 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:21 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	WeatherNut	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:21 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	MikeC	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:15 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	MikeC	Sun Jul 20 2008 06:05 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	metwannabe	Sun Jul 20 2008 05:56 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 20 2008 05:55 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	WeatherNut	Sun Jul 20 2008 05:35 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Storm Hunter	Sun Jul 20 2008 03:32 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 02:50 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Hugh	Sun Jul 20 2008 02:45 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	Random Chaos	Sun Jul 20 2008 02:31 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	typhoon_tip	Sun Jul 20 2008 01:57 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	cieldumort	Sun Jul 20 2008 01:45 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	scottsvb	Sun Jul 20 2008 01:41 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	weatherguy08	Sun Jul 20 2008 01:23 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	typhoon_tip	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:57 PM
Dolly	danielw	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:51 PM
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical	typhoon_tip	Sun Jul 20 2008 12:43 PM

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