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90L crossing over Florida with flooding rains, strong winds and brief tornadoes/spouts. Next week eyes turn to W Gulf in active June pattern
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 288 (Idalia) , Major: 288 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 288 (Idalia) Major: 288 (Idalia)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: CV Waves
      Mon Jul 21 2008 12:45 AM

It is a bit surprising given that there is easterly wind shear (on the decline) and marginal SSTs of 25 to 26C, but its also true that those conditions didn't stop Bertha when it came off the coast in roughly the same area (SSTs were about the same). This particular wave has maintained a tropical low center for about the past four days - its roughly located near 13N 13W at 21/00Z. The wave will exit the coast on Monday (not Tuesday) and has a chance to become a depression on Tuesday (per the UKMET, which is what I'm sure NHC was looking at). In general though, you are correct that many of them do fall apart when they first exit the west African coast. The MET develops it as a tropical cyclone at 15.7N which seems a bit too far to the north given its current location.
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* CV Waves Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Jul 21 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: CV Waves DMFischer   Tue Jul 15 2008 09:26 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Jul 15 2008 09:46 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves ftlaudbob   Sat Jul 19 2008 07:51 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 19 2008 08:30 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves Mike   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:59 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: CV Waves craigm   Mon Jul 21 2008 03:13 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves LDH892   Tue Jul 22 2008 12:09 AM
. * * Re: CV Waves DMFischer   Tue Aug 05 2008 12:26 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves weathernet   Wed Aug 06 2008 03:26 AM
. * * Re: CV Waves DMFischer   Wed Aug 06 2008 05:18 AM
. * * Re: CV Waves CaneTrackerInSoFl   Tue Aug 05 2008 01:16 PM
. * * Re: CV Waves saluki   Mon Jul 21 2008 03:29 AM

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