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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
Rem Alberto
ADV#13 10:00 pm EDT
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical
      Sun Jul 20 2008 10:28 PM

Actually, there is motion.

Recall that 1 degree at the equator is 60nm. Therefore, the distance required to take it from the recon fix the the center you estimated (45' W, 40' N) would be 60nm in two hours; that's 30nm/hr, or quite a bit faster than recon has seen it been moving. Although it's possible the center "skipped" under the convective core instead of actually moving normally.

Remember, these are all hypothetical positions, there is no recon data or anything official stating that it's at the position we're talking about. We only know the origin from recon, not it's present position.

(These estimates were done in my head, so don't quote me!)

Edited by Random Chaos (Sun Jul 20 2008 10:34 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TS Dolly Over Cancun, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Jul 20 2008 10:28 PM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Hugh   Mon Jul 21 2008 06:51 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:39 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:33 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement scottsvb   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:30 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement ftlaudbob   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:22 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Beaumont, TX   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:20 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:16 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:11 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:04 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 01:45 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement scottsvb   Mon Jul 21 2008 01:03 AM
. * * Re: NHC Storm Movement MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 01:01 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:40 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical scottsvb   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:36 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:29 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical typhoon_tip   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:22 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical typhoon_tip   Mon Jul 21 2008 12:20 AM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Storm Hunter   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:52 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical metwannabe   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:42 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical LDH892   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:42 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:16 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:12 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:08 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:03 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 11:00 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:58 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:50 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weathernet   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:48 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Beaumont, TX   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:44 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Freezey   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:42 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:28 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weathernet   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:23 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:21 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weatherguy08   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:20 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:17 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:14 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weathernet   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:13 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:11 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weathernet   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:06 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Brett Addison   Sun Jul 20 2008 10:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical craigm   Sun Jul 20 2008 09:48 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 09:41 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 09:31 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical okihabu   Sun Jul 20 2008 09:19 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical craigm   Sun Jul 20 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: 200mb Level Winds near Dolly LoisCane   Sun Jul 20 2008 07:45 PM
. * * 200mb Level Winds near Dolly danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 07:06 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Storm Hunter   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:46 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:21 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical WeatherNut   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:21 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:15 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 06:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical metwannabe   Sun Jul 20 2008 05:56 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 20 2008 05:55 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical WeatherNut   Sun Jul 20 2008 05:35 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Storm Hunter   Sun Jul 20 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 02:50 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Hugh   Sun Jul 20 2008 02:45 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Jul 20 2008 02:31 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical typhoon_tip   Sun Jul 20 2008 01:57 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical cieldumort   Sun Jul 20 2008 01:45 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Jul 20 2008 01:41 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical weatherguy08   Sun Jul 20 2008 01:23 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical typhoon_tip   Sun Jul 20 2008 12:57 PM
. * * Dolly danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 20 2008 12:51 PM
. * * Re: TS Dolly Heads Toward Cozumel, Cristobal Drifts NE, Bertha Now Extratropical typhoon_tip   Sun Jul 20 2008 12:43 PM

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