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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor
      Tue Jul 22 2008 04:35 AM

Middle of the night and it appears that finally the ULL to Dolly's southwest is filling in a little bit more and continuing west at around the same pace or even a touch faster, while Dolly's forward motion is slowing down, and perhaps even starting to trend WNW once again.

This development has greatly lessened the shear and infiltration of dry air within Dolly's southern half. With outflow starting to improve now in this area, along with the increased overall moisture content, convection is currently taking off - and taking off from what looks like right over the LLC - making for an almost regular CDO-type scene.

The most recent vort fix, that was made just about the time conditions started turning more favorable, found:

Estimated Max Surface Winds 48.6KT (55.9mph 90.0km/h) *
Position of the center: 23° 14' N 093° 28' W (23.2°N 93.5°W)
Minimum pressure: 997mb (29.44in)

It appears that Dolly has entered a sweet spot, for now. That SSTs are not as warm ahead becomes almost irrelevant, given the much-improved atmospheric environment. As a deepening cyclone, she may begin to respond to a slight developing weakness in the mid-level high to her north, and complete that trip to the Texas coastline. Otherwise, a continued westerly track will place landfall somewhere between Tampico, Mx and Brownsville, but which would still keep a sizable portion of the RFQ along the south Texas shoreline.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Corpus Christi MikeCAdministrator Tue Jul 22 2008 04:35 AM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Corpus Christi Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Corpus Christi ShanaTX   Tue Jul 22 2008 05:00 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor typhoon_tip   Tue Jul 22 2008 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor Clark   Tue Jul 22 2008 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor scottsvb   Tue Jul 22 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor Beaumont, TX   Tue Jul 22 2008 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor WeatherNut   Tue Jul 22 2008 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 22 2008 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor Rich B   Tue Jul 22 2008 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor WeatherNut   Tue Jul 22 2008 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor cieldumort   Tue Jul 22 2008 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 22 2008 08:58 AM
. * * Re: Dolly Strengthening.. Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor berrywr   Tue Jul 22 2008 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor Random Chaos   Tue Jul 22 2008 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Warnings Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor cieldumort   Tue Jul 22 2008 04:35 AM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 01:41 AM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 01:38 AM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds Storm Hunter   Tue Jul 22 2008 01:27 AM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds typhoon_tip   Tue Jul 22 2008 12:39 AM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds cieldumort   Mon Jul 21 2008 11:47 PM
. * * Re: HDOB Wind Speeds scottsvb   Mon Jul 21 2008 11:35 PM
. * * Warnings are UP danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 11:32 PM
. * * HDOB Wind Speeds danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches Up in Texas Brownsville to Port O'Connor cieldumort   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Recon WeatherNut   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Recon LoisCane   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon WeatherNut   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Recon MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 07:02 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Recon Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 06:15 PM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 04:33 PM
. * * DOL and LY danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions Storm Hunter   Mon Jul 21 2008 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:35 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions typhoon_tip   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions typhoon_tip   Mon Jul 21 2008 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions cieldumort   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions craigm   Mon Jul 21 2008 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Cristobal Out to Sea, Dolly in Gulf, Questions MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jul 21 2008 09:28 AM

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