Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching

Update - Sunday, 08/03 Noon ET
The Low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico may form into a depression or storm later today or tomorrow and all those along the central gulf into Texas will want to watch this.

More to come soon.

Update - Friday, 08/01 5PM ET
Invest 99L in the central tropical Atlantic with a weak circulation center near 17.5N 38.5W at 01/21Z moving westward with little convection. Windshear should limit any chance for development until Monday.

Active but disorganized tropical wave passing through the Windward Islands into the eastern Caribbean Sea over the weekend. Convection is present, but this system will encounter west to westnorthwest wind shear over the next couple of days. A small chance for some development after the weekend as the shear relaxes.

Another wave is located south southwest of the Cape Verde Islands near 12.5N 26W at 01/18Z moving westward under light easterly shear. SSTs are about 26C and this system may have the best chance for eventual development. Note that convection is currently displaced to the southeast of the wave apex. At 02/12Z, NHC has designated this wave as Invest 90L located at 11.5N 27.7W. Conditions remain favorable for slow development of this system.

Finally, another active wave is located over west Africa near 14N 5W at 01/18Z.

Lots of things to watch, but nothing to cause any concern for the moment.
ED

Update - Wednesday, 07/30 12AM ET
Invest 98L just off the west African coast near 14N 18W at 30/00Z moving slowly westward in a narrow zone of light wind shear. SSTs of about 26C. Surface low pressure center of 1008MB. Slow development is possible over the next few days.

Second wave near 9N 37W at 30/00Z also moving slowly westward. Wave has a small area of convection but is currently not as well organized as Invest 98L.
ED

Original Post
For the first time this month, the Atlantic Basin is relatively quiet. Invest 97L near 19N 44W at 26/00Z is disorganized and has quite a bit of drier air to contend with for the next 36 hours as it travels westward at 15 knots. Conditions will improve on Sunday and slow development is still possible later on Sunday or Monday.

A healthy tropical wave moved off the west African coast a couple of days ago but it quickly became disorganized under cool SSTs and strong easterly shear. It is entering a slightly more favorable environment but additional development is questionable. Note that easterly shear still exists off the west African coast westward to about 30W between 8N and 18N. The wave was roughly located at 9N 26W at 26/00Z.

Finally, an active and well organized tropical low exists over the African continent at 10N 2E at 26/00Z and this system will exit the coast in a few days.
ED
{{StormLinks|91L|91|5|2008|1|91L}}

{{StormLinks|99L|99|6|2008|1|99L}}

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Aug 03 2008 04:25 PM)

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