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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2307
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Wave Watching
Sat Aug 02 2008 02:49 PM

Getting a look at the new visible images out this morning --

Invest 99L is looking surprisingly healthy this morning, and has even started to rate T numbers again. The most recent out of SAB is a T of 1.0, which really looks like it might be raised again come their next update in a few hours.

So far today 99L (old 98) has chased off any dry air intrusions like a champ. It might have a window of 2-3 days before shear would have a chance to force in gobs more dry air, to ramp up. If it can create an upper-level anticyclone within this window, shear may be reduced a great deal going forward.

NRL already has 99's winds up at 30 knots, and just a little more organized convection could earn 99 a number, and perhaps even a name, in short order.

90L is still gliding through a favorably moist atmosphere with shear generally under 25 knots, to as little as 10-15 knots. It is currently analyzed at about 1009mb.

While not a wave, I'm thinking it's time to mention something a little bit closer to home. An old, decaying frontal boundary that attempted to work up a surface low just south of Louisiana earlier this past week, but went inland before anything could really take, has slid back out over the northern GOM. Upper-level high pressure is expected to have a chance to build over this festering old frontal feature during the next few days, and it could try to pull something off with little notice. This is one of the most favored methods of tropical cyclogenesis in this part of the Atlantic.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 02 2008 02:49 PM
Re: Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 03 2008 08:25 PM
Re: Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching	cieldumort	Sun Aug 03 2008 08:03 PM
Administrative Note	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 03 2008 08:02 PM
Re: GOM 91L	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 03 2008 05:06 PM
GOM 91L	danielw	Sun Aug 03 2008 02:18 AM
Re: Wave Watching	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 03 2008 12:42 AM
Re: Wave Watching	Black Pearl	Sat Aug 02 2008 11:43 PM
Re: Wave Watching	xxflcyclonexx	Sat Aug 02 2008 08:02 PM
Re: Wave Watching	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 02 2008 05:57 PM
Re: Wave Watching	Hurricane29	Sat Aug 02 2008 05:57 PM
Re: Wave Watching	weathernet	Sat Aug 02 2008 05:15 PM
Northern GOM	danielw	Sat Aug 02 2008 04:52 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Sat Aug 02 2008 02:49 PM
Re: Wave & 90L Watching	weathernet	Sat Aug 02 2008 01:39 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Sat Aug 02 2008 02:12 AM
Re: Wave Watching	craigm	Fri Aug 01 2008 08:27 PM
Re: Wave Watching	doug	Fri Aug 01 2008 04:25 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Fri Aug 01 2008 04:24 PM
Re: Wave Watching	metwannabe	Fri Aug 01 2008 01:09 PM
Re: Wave Watching	metwannabe	Fri Aug 01 2008 01:05 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Thu Jul 31 2008 01:51 AM
Re: Wave Watching	metwannabe	Thu Jul 31 2008 12:29 AM
Re: 98L	cieldumort	Wed Jul 30 2008 05:19 PM
98L	danielw	Wed Jul 30 2008 04:53 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Wed Jul 30 2008 07:19 AM
98L Invest?	ltpat228	Wed Jul 30 2008 02:52 AM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Wed Jul 30 2008 01:41 AM
Re: Wave Watching	M.A.	Tue Jul 29 2008 09:50 PM
Re: Wave Watching	cieldumort	Tue Jul 29 2008 02:56 PM
Re: GOM	Ed in Va	Tue Jul 29 2008 12:25 PM
Re: GOM	WeatherNut	Mon Jul 28 2008 11:09 PM
Re: GOM	cieldumort	Mon Jul 28 2008 08:20 PM
Re: Wave Watching	scottsvb	Mon Jul 28 2008 06:12 PM
GOM	danielw	Mon Jul 28 2008 05:50 PM
Re: Wave Watching	danielw	Mon Jul 28 2008 05:24 PM
Re: Wave Watching	scottsvb	Mon Jul 28 2008 03:19 PM
Re: Wave Watching	LoisCane	Mon Jul 28 2008 12:12 PM
Re: Wave Watching	LoisCane	Sun Jul 27 2008 08:37 PM
Re: Wave Watching	craigm	Sun Jul 27 2008 04:04 PM
Re: Wave Watching	Hurricane29	Sat Jul 26 2008 04:48 PM

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