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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Wave Watching
      Sat Aug 02 2008 10:49 AM

Getting a look at the new visible images out this morning --

Invest 99L is looking surprisingly healthy this morning, and has even started to rate T numbers again. The most recent out of SAB is a T of 1.0, which really looks like it might be raised again come their next update in a few hours.

So far today 99L (old 98) has chased off any dry air intrusions like a champ. It might have a window of 2-3 days before shear would have a chance to force in gobs more dry air, to ramp up. If it can create an upper-level anticyclone within this window, shear may be reduced a great deal going forward.

NRL already has 99's winds up at 30 knots, and just a little more organized convection could earn 99 a number, and perhaps even a name, in short order.

90L is still gliding through a favorably moist atmosphere with shear generally under 25 knots, to as little as 10-15 knots. It is currently analyzed at about 1009mb.

While not a wave, I'm thinking it's time to mention something a little bit closer to home. An old, decaying frontal boundary that attempted to work up a surface low just south of Louisiana earlier this past week, but went inland before anything could really take, has slid back out over the northern GOM. Upper-level high pressure is expected to have a chance to build over this festering old frontal feature during the next few days, and it could try to pull something off with little notice. This is one of the most favored methods of tropical cyclogenesis in this part of the Atlantic.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching Ed DunhamAdministrator Sat Aug 02 2008 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching Random Chaos   Sun Aug 03 2008 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Gulf of Mexico Watching and Wave Watching cieldumort   Sun Aug 03 2008 04:03 PM
. * * Administrative Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 03 2008 04:02 PM
. * * Re: GOM 91L Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 03 2008 01:06 PM
. * * GOM 91L danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 02 2008 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 02 2008 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching Black Pearl   Sat Aug 02 2008 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching xxflcyclonexx   Sat Aug 02 2008 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 02 2008 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching Hurricane29   Sat Aug 02 2008 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching weathernet   Sat Aug 02 2008 01:15 PM
. * * Northern GOM danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 02 2008 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Sat Aug 02 2008 10:49 AM
. * * Re: Wave & 90L Watching weathernet   Sat Aug 02 2008 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Fri Aug 01 2008 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching craigm   Fri Aug 01 2008 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching doug   Fri Aug 01 2008 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Fri Aug 01 2008 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching metwannabe   Fri Aug 01 2008 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Wave Watching metwannabe   Fri Aug 01 2008 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Wed Jul 30 2008 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching metwannabe   Wed Jul 30 2008 08:29 PM
. * * Re: 98L cieldumort   Wed Jul 30 2008 01:19 PM
. * * 98L danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 30 2008 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Wed Jul 30 2008 03:19 AM
. * * 98L Invest? ltpat228   Tue Jul 29 2008 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Tue Jul 29 2008 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching M.A.   Tue Jul 29 2008 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching cieldumort   Tue Jul 29 2008 10:56 AM
. * * Re: GOM Ed in Va   Tue Jul 29 2008 08:25 AM
. * * Re: GOM WeatherNut   Mon Jul 28 2008 07:09 PM
. * * Re: GOM cieldumort   Mon Jul 28 2008 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching scottsvb   Mon Jul 28 2008 02:12 PM
. * * GOM danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 28 2008 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 28 2008 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching scottsvb   Mon Jul 28 2008 11:19 AM
. * * Re: Wave Watching LoisCane   Mon Jul 28 2008 08:12 AM
. * * Re: Wave Watching LoisCane   Sun Jul 27 2008 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching craigm   Sun Jul 27 2008 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Wave Watching Hurricane29   Sat Jul 26 2008 12:48 PM

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