F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Invest 95L near 100% chance to develop, advisories likely to come later today. Hurricane and/or Tropical Storm Watches are possible later tonight for parts of the Windward islands of the Caribbean. Area east of that 30% chance. 94L 30% chance.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 303 (Idalia) , Major: 303 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 303 (Idalia) Major: 303 (Idalia)
Td#2
ADV#1 10:00 pm EDT
9.1N 41.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
Invest 94LClick for Invest Information from CIMSS
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
Previous thread Previous   View all threads Index   Next thread Next   Flat Mode Flat  

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Ramp Up in Activity
      Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM

I'll be kinda brief on this, but I have seen this year the models after 72hrs been off on strength of a system this year, especially the GFS. Tracks have done well, but time after time again we see a hurricane in 96-144hrs and it doesnt happen or its delayed. Eduardo was a exception but also home grown and the models probably had a better idea on something forming closer to home.

Until we get a TD, I wouldnt say or think how strong a system will be. After 72hrs module runs seem to change dramatically in strength a system might get, they might of shown a hurriane in 96 hrs but almost nothing 2 runs later.

Right now with 92L, it may never develop into more than a weak TS if at all due to dry air! Same with 93 L as dry air gets between the 2 systems. I think 92ls chance is better after 5 days in the S.E Bahamas., but dont believe the models strength after 72hrs.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ramp Up in Activity MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity scottsvb   Mon Aug 11 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity cieldumort   Mon Aug 11 2008 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity LoisCane   Mon Aug 11 2008 12:39 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity spinup   Sun Aug 10 2008 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 10 2008 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2008 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2008 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) craigm   Sun Aug 10 2008 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Hugh   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) ltpat228   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Mike V   Sun Aug 10 2008 02:29 PM
. * * Say hey Fay (time to play) HanKFranK   Sun Aug 10 2008 01:20 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity craigm   Sun Aug 10 2008 12:34 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 12:18 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 111 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 9629

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center