F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Ramp Up in Activity
      Mon Aug 11 2008 02:16 PM

I'll be kinda brief on this, but I have seen this year the models after 72hrs been off on strength of a system this year, especially the GFS. Tracks have done well, but time after time again we see a hurricane in 96-144hrs and it doesnt happen or its delayed. Eduardo was a exception but also home grown and the models probably had a better idea on something forming closer to home.

Until we get a TD, I wouldnt say or think how strong a system will be. After 72hrs module runs seem to change dramatically in strength a system might get, they might of shown a hurriane in 96 hrs but almost nothing 2 runs later.

Right now with 92L, it may never develop into more than a weak TS if at all due to dry air! Same with 93 L as dry air gets between the 2 systems. I think 92ls chance is better after 5 days in the S.E Bahamas., but dont believe the models strength after 72hrs.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ramp Up in Activity MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 11 2008 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity scottsvb   Mon Aug 11 2008 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity cieldumort   Mon Aug 11 2008 05:08 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity LoisCane   Mon Aug 11 2008 04:39 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Mon Aug 11 2008 03:17 AM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity spinup   Mon Aug 11 2008 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 11 2008 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 10 2008 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) cieldumort   Sun Aug 10 2008 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) craigm   Sun Aug 10 2008 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Hugh   Sun Aug 10 2008 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) ltpat228   Sun Aug 10 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) rmbjoe1954   Sun Aug 10 2008 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Say hey Fay (time to play) Mike V   Sun Aug 10 2008 06:29 PM
. * * Say hey Fay (time to play) HanKFranK   Sun Aug 10 2008 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:52 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity craigm   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Ramp Up in Activity typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 10 2008 04:18 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 39 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 9465

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center