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Recon has departed Keesler to check out #93L in the SW Gulf. #92L is now just inland along SE GA coast. June systems can dump lots of rain.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 297 (Idalia) , Major: 297 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 297 (Idalia) Major: 297 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

MikeC
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Posts: 4560
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Looking Around the Basin
Wed Aug 13 2008 08:08 AM

Normally you look for a variety of factors looking to see if a depression has formed or not. In this case the wave east of the islands (92L) is still not matching enough for this, and probably won't today. Mostly the mention of it on the main page is a way to say hey there's something that could happen next week, so you may want to check over the weekend to see if it has developed or not. I do not want it to come anywhere near us, developed or not.

Recon, Dvorak numbers, satellite imagery and radar if you have it are some of the better ways to determine if it has formed or not (usually in that order). Recon hasn't found anything (and it's unusual recon goes this far east) the Dvorak numbers never reached around 2.0 and more are reasons it isn't a depression. And water vapor satellite along with visual are some of the better ways that I look for.

Right now with 92L, it doesn't look all that good. It just shows shearing and disorganized system at present, and it probably won't have a better shot at organization until if/when it gets north of the islands if it lasts that long.

Usually I"ll just read the NHC's data and look at the raw images/data myself before updating the main page, and before i read anyone else's take on the system too. Only after posting an update will I go check other opinions and then make notes on it after that.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	Ed Dunham	Wed Aug 13 2008 08:08 AM
Re: Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	cieldumort	Thu Aug 14 2008 03:40 AM
Re: Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	weathernet	Thu Aug 14 2008 03:00 AM
Re: Watching Wave East of the Lesser Antilles	Robert	Thu Aug 14 2008 02:35 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	weathernet	Thu Aug 14 2008 02:18 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	flanewscameraman	Thu Aug 14 2008 02:10 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Storm Hunter	Thu Aug 14 2008 01:24 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 13 2008 09:08 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	stormchazer	Wed Aug 13 2008 09:04 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	LoisCane	Wed Aug 13 2008 08:51 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	doug	Wed Aug 13 2008 03:39 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	scottsvb	Wed Aug 13 2008 01:19 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	JoshuaK	Wed Aug 13 2008 12:25 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	scottsvb	Wed Aug 13 2008 11:08 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	ftlaudbob	Wed Aug 13 2008 10:06 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 13 2008 09:55 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	ftlaudbob	Wed Aug 13 2008 09:25 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	weathernet	Wed Aug 13 2008 08:43 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	craigm	Wed Aug 13 2008 08:14 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	MikeC	Wed Aug 13 2008 08:08 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	scottsvb	Wed Aug 13 2008 12:55 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	metwannabe	Tue Aug 12 2008 11:49 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	typhoon_tip	Tue Aug 12 2008 10:30 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	Hugh	Tue Aug 12 2008 10:29 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	LoisCane	Tue Aug 12 2008 09:47 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Robert	Tue Aug 12 2008 04:50 PM
Re: RE: Recon West winds	WF-Ron	Tue Aug 12 2008 03:35 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	DrewC	Tue Aug 12 2008 03:29 PM
RE: Recon West winds	Robert	Tue Aug 12 2008 02:04 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	NewWatcher	Tue Aug 12 2008 01:43 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 12 2008 01:40 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	MikeC	Tue Aug 12 2008 01:05 PM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	JoshuaK	Tue Aug 12 2008 07:43 AM
Re: Discussion Excerpts	Storm Cooper	Tue Aug 12 2008 04:53 AM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	cieldumort	Tue Aug 12 2008 12:44 AM
Discussion Excerpts	danielw	Mon Aug 11 2008 11:23 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	LoisCane	Mon Aug 11 2008 08:03 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Freezey	Mon Aug 11 2008 06:59 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Beach	Mon Aug 11 2008 04:48 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	Beach	Mon Aug 11 2008 04:39 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	MAR32366	Mon Aug 11 2008 04:38 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	MichaelA	Mon Aug 11 2008 04:24 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	scottsvb	Mon Aug 11 2008 03:57 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	cchsweatherman	Mon Aug 11 2008 01:13 PM
Re: Looking Around the Basin	danielw	Mon Aug 11 2008 12:45 PM

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