Ive been leaning towards a southern scenario scince yesterday when the LLCC was west anigulla when all the convection was NE. and late last night when the heavisest convection was south of purto rico. in last nights IR 30 image loop length from http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/ website you could see the midlevel circulation come out of the mas of storms from yesterdays blow up and head north of purto rico trying reform early this morning. But it was LLCC that went south that at night fall exploded as it aprroched purto rico from the E to ESE and appeared to step around the island completely insted of crosinng it, and did that bye going south at one time heading south west for a moment . At that time the mid level circualtion north of the islands kept true and started refiring ahead of the low, the low being a broad area ancompinsing at least 150 miles or more s or sw into the carribean. The possibilitie i belive is that by seperating connection with the mid low through process of crossing purto rico the llcc finally grabbed something, and thats what we see now. i wonder now if the llcc going into hati dies does the mid level come back north, or reform south off the south coast near the troughinies.
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