Her feeder bands and her strong area of convection over water is keeping her stronger than one would think for a storm over land. A good part of her remains over water and this trend will continue even more as she moves west. This can be seen on the water vapor loop here.
I would also think that as she was intensifying and formed over land she would be less hurt by land than a strong storm that hits land after functioning better over water. I don't know if there is any scientific explanation for this but from observation I have seen the mtns of Haiti have less of an affect on such storms.
As for the high pressure ridge, if Fay intensifies as she may be doing would that not help break down the ridge earlier than expected? The models previously kept Fay as a weaker storm at this point and did not account for an intensification.
The waters of the Windward Passage are hot and depending where she hits it she would be over very warm water for some time leading to further intensification.
I would think the models may shift back to the left somewhat if she does intensify.
-------------------- Scratch my back with a lightning bolt
Thunder rolls like a bass drum note
The sound of the weather is Heaven's ragtime band
0 registered and 389 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 47834
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Tropical Storm Fay aims for Cuba
Edit
Reply
Quote
