Well now I'm completely confused. The 11pm discussion does not really mention the models shifting... and the forecast track is the same as it was before. In fact, the discussion says the forecast is in agreement with the consensus, which it's not at all based upon the models I'm looking at.
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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