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92L now up to a 60% chance for development. Recon out there but just under the threshhold for classification, may become a TD later today.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 296 (Idalia) , Major: 296 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 296 (Idalia) Major: 296 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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News Talkback >> 2008 Storm Forum

Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 383
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: Admin Note
      Sun Aug 17 2008 04:01 AM

Quote:

This thread needs to get back on track. Its purpose was to discuss Fay's Florida Impact potential - but it has been drifting far afield.
Thanks,
ED



OK Ed we have been duly reprimanded. We heard a need and tried to meet it. Back on task...
Right now the impact potential is VERY hard to quantify. IF this thing goes up the FL west coast as a cat 1, I think the impact will be pretty minimal, at least in the areas hit by Charley. They have rebuilt/repaired their infrastructure since Charley and should be able to brush off a cat 1 pretty easily except for those still living in Mobile homes (when will they EVER learn?). I don't much care for the idea of even a Cat 1 over Pinellas county or Tampa Bay as then you would shift to flooding concerns when something like 80% of Pinellas county is less than 25 feet above mean sea level. That said, those folks have dealt with this often enough in the past for it not to be HUGE (see Elena, and every strong winter Low that spins up out of the GOM). IF this goes to Cat 2, all bets are off as it makes a large difference in the coastal waters. I wouldn't fear a Cat 1 in my neighborhood either as we are not in an evac zone, have all power lines under ground, have a new roof on a CBS house, have excellent drainage, and lost our most threatening tree in Jeanne. I may put up my boards on the two south facing (kids) rooms just for security, but nothing else. If it makes Cat 2, I would go into full Hurricane defense mode....we shall see.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Fay's Florida Impact Potential weathernet Sun Aug 17 2008 04:01 AM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential tjs   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:26 AM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential LoisCane   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:35 AM
. * * Conditions in your area ftlaudbob   Mon Aug 18 2008 12:36 PM
. * * How many landfalls can a Florida storm have? weathernet   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:07 PM
. * * Re: How many landfalls can a Florida storm have? Loxgal   Thu Aug 21 2008 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Conditions in your area srq   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:53 AM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 17 2008 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Admin Note Lamar-Plant City   Sun Aug 17 2008 04:01 AM
. * * Re: Admin Note Bookworm   Sun Aug 17 2008 01:00 PM
. * * Possible Impact Cindi   Sun Aug 17 2008 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Possible Impact conschscooter   Sun Aug 17 2008 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Possible Impact parser   Sun Aug 17 2008 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential ltpat228   Sat Aug 16 2008 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 16 2008 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Hootowl   Sat Aug 16 2008 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Askeerdid   Sat Aug 16 2008 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential cjzydeco   Sat Aug 16 2008 09:12 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential ASkeeerdid   Sat Aug 16 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Bev   Sun Aug 17 2008 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Askeerdid   Sun Aug 17 2008 02:23 AM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential flanewscameraman   Sun Aug 17 2008 01:57 AM
. * * Re: Fay's Florida Impact Potential Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 16 2008 08:55 PM

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