Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
290 (Idalia)
, Major:
290 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia)
Major:
290 (Idalia)
Satellite imagery shows Fay is becoming somewhat better organised, with a possible CDO developing over the LLCC and a continued drop in pressure - down to 1001mb according to Recon. As the worst of the conditions are northeast of the centre much of the southern Florida peninsula look set to take quite a pasting, even though she is still just a Tropical Storm. Given the drop in pressure and the improvement in organisation we will probably be looking at Hurricane Fay within the next 6 to 9 hours.
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