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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
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zacker20
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 27
Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South
      Mon Aug 18 2008 10:43 PM

Quote:

It could be another "wobble" but last several radar loops looks as if Fay is taking on more of an eastward component.



The Key West radar is not conclusive. What you have to look at is the IR Satellite... Earlier today, the storm was very disorganized and broad. The IR satellite picture is showing a deepening of convection on the western side and it is getting symmetrical. Do not focus on the convection to the eastern side, that has been sheared off and is broken away from the COC. The new focus is the blowup of convection on the western side. There could also be a new formation of COC... Zoom in on the western convection and you will definitely see a spinning feature in the center. I don't believe the center is located at Key West. If you compare the Forecast points with the current movement over the past few hours, it is definitely trending more to the west.

We will have to wait and see till 8 pm if this is actually considered a trend but I am betting the motion is more to the NW, not NNW.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the Southwest MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 18 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver craigm   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:02 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Clark   Tue Aug 19 2008 07:03 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:59 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:56 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Robert   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver scottsvb   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:53 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver cieldumort   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:52 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver MadDog   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:41 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:38 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Bev   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:37 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:21 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:16 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:12 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 04:07 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver flanewscameraman   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:58 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:51 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver kromdog   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:26 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver kromdog   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:10 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver metwannabe   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... smorse22   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:13 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... scottsvb   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:12 AM
. * * Just a Friendly Reminder Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Tropicbird   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... cieldumort   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:48 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... charlottefl   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Lee-Delray   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:26 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver LDH892   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:25 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:18 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... flanewscameraman   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:48 AM
. * * the cobra maneuver HanKFranK   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:46 AM
. * * Some evening thoughts... wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay West FL Jess   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Fay StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:32 AM
. * * Fay danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:27 AM
. * * Re: Tampa Forecast zacker20   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:22 AM
. * * Re: Tampa Forecast StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:20 AM
. * * Tampa Forecast danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South LoisCane   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay Robert   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South JMII   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South OrlandoDan   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:57 PM
. * * Landfall Timing zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:52 PM
. * * Hurricane Fay Beach   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South LoisCane   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cate   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South rayboat   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cate   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South metwannabe   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South kromdog   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South BillD   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Beach   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South vineyardsaker   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South metwannabe   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South weathernet   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South JMII   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South craigm   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South B_from_NC   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South BillD   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Thunderbird12   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South bradrd   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Geoff   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:03 PM

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