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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.
Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South
      Mon Aug 18 2008 07:47 PM Attachment (201 downloads)

well see the NHC 5pm discussion caught was i was thinking/writing early in post #82074 ... i just didn't really go into detail that a mesoscale feature was spinning around toward key west. Plus with the help of two recons at the time and level II super res. data from Key West... i could tell the "coc" was still off shore at 3pm EDT... and the meso was clearly visible in the new super resolution data.

The big thing that caught my eye this afternoon, is the contracting of winds to the center...and the large blow-up of convection to the northwest of the center... what i think was happening... like last night.. a mid level low fired up and got going... this time is appeared it was begining to "pull around" toward the surface center, which i think is the reason we saw Fay kinda slow down... wobble if you will... as the mid level center was trying to catch up with the surface center... with the help of RSO Vis oF Fay... i think it kinda shows what i'm talking about... notice how the storms expand out in all directions... very good outflow aloft... a little bit of shear to the west, but this is going to be a compact storm for right now and as it crosses over Florida. THE BIG QUESTION down the road is what happens after 60hrs... Tonight's 00z runs will be interesting

Attached is a image from Key West.. To me the surface center is Directly north of the Radar.. about 10-20 miles

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2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh



Edited by Storm Hunter (Mon Aug 18 2008 07:51 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the Southwest MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 18 2008 07:47 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver craigm   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:02 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Clark   Tue Aug 19 2008 03:03 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:59 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:56 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Robert   Tue Aug 19 2008 02:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver scottsvb   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 01:04 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:53 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver cieldumort   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:52 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver MadDog   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:45 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:41 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:38 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Bev   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:37 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:21 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:16 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:12 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 12:07 AM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:51 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver kromdog   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:45 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver Colleen A.   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:26 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver kromdog   Mon Aug 18 2008 11:10 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver metwannabe   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:20 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... scottsvb   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:12 PM
. * * Just a Friendly Reminder Colleen A.   Mon Aug 18 2008 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Tropicbird   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Colleen A.   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:44 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... charlottefl   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Lee-Delray   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Colleen A.   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:26 PM
. * * Re: the cobra maneuver LDH892   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... flanewscameraman   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Some evening thoughts... danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:48 PM
. * * the cobra maneuver HanKFranK   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:46 PM
. * * Some evening thoughts... wxman007   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:35 PM
. * * Re: Fay StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:32 PM
. * * Fay danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Tampa Forecast zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Tampa Forecast StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:20 PM
. * * Tampa Forecast danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South LoisCane   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Fay Robert   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South JMII   Mon Aug 18 2008 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South OrlandoDan   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:57 PM
. * * Landfall Timing zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cieldumort   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Hurricane Fay Beach   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South LoisCane   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cate   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South rayboat   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South cate   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South metwannabe   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South kromdog   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South BillD   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Beach   Mon Aug 18 2008 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South vineyardsaker   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South metwannabe   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South weathernet   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South zacker20   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South smorse22   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South WeatherNut   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South JMII   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South StrmTrckrMiami   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South craigm   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MichaelA   Mon Aug 18 2008 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South B_from_NC   Mon Aug 18 2008 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South BillD   Mon Aug 18 2008 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South West FL Jess   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Thunderbird12   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:20 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Storm Hunter   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South bradrd   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Geoff   Mon Aug 18 2008 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South Rich B   Mon Aug 18 2008 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Fay Approaching Florida from the South MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 18 2008 03:03 PM

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