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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: fay heading seaward
      Wed Aug 20 2008 01:42 AM

Fay should halt her northward movement in the next 6-12 hrs then meander for a day or so before moving west due to the building ridge now entering the Ohio Valley tonight and into the Mid Atlantic and NorthEast on Weds. How strong the ridge gets will determine if Fay moves W or just north (or south) of west.
Currently Fays center is just south of the dry air pocket around Melbourne and meandering NNE again and should come off the coast near Melbourne beach in a few hours.. Then the question is (when she gets to 28.5-29N) how far off the coast will she be? 10miles? 50 miles? It will make a difference in how strong she gets. Then since the ridge is building in Weds-Thurs how much time over the water does she have and direction she takes. She does have a 60% chance of making it to the GOM off of Hernado-Citrus county by Friday. Also I give it the same amount of making it to a 80mph hurricane if she stays offshore Brevard at least 25miles until Thursday night.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 20 2008 01:42 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:58 AM
. * * Fay Nearly Stationary; Gulf of Mexico? berrywr   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:45 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward berrywr   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:18 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast mcgowanmc   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:17 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward mikethewreck   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:45 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward pcola   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:09 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward charlottefl   Wed Aug 20 2008 05:00 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward DebbiePSL   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:20 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward stinger   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:08 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward DebbiePSL   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:48 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:43 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:32 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward DebbiePSL   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:20 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:07 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 01:42 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward LoisCane   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:58 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:47 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Colleen A.   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:43 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward allan   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:43 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:33 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward LoisCane   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:26 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Big Red Machine   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:06 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:05 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Big Red Machine   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:00 AM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: fay heading seaward Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast BillD   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:52 PM
. * * fay heading seaward HanKFranK   Tue Aug 19 2008 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Bloodstar   Tue Aug 19 2008 10:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Jumaduke   Tue Aug 19 2008 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast gulf coaster   Tue Aug 19 2008 10:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast sprghill   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast ricky   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Tazmanian93   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast scottsvb   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast rayboat   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast GoBigSurf   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Tazmanian93   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast metwannabe   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast B_from_NC   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast WeatherNut   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Big Red Machine   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Storm Cooper   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Tazmanian93   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast engicedave   Tue Aug 19 2008 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Colleen A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast lawgator   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast ricky   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Duane   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Hugh   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast dolfinatic   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast gatorman   Tue Aug 19 2008 08:08 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 07:47 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast wxman007   Tue Aug 19 2008 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 19 2008 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Hugh   Tue Aug 19 2008 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast pcola   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Joe   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast scottsvb   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast engicedave   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Joe   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast M.A.   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast OrlandoDan   Tue Aug 19 2008 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast pcola   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Watches up for North Florida, Georgia as Tropical Storm Fay Moves North Northeast Humanriff   Tue Aug 19 2008 05:14 PM

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