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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral
      Wed Aug 20 2008 11:17 AM

Always watch radar when it comes to movement. Sat images give a false sense of movement. Also sat images are updated usually every 12-30min while radar is updated every 4-6 min. Also you have to look at the movement over the past hour or 2. Fay wont get much further north than this as the ridge is now along 81W..so maybe another 10miles ( 28.5-29dg as I stated in my forecasts) or so then maybe a wobble to the east or southeast can happen before a turn west later tomorrow. Finally the GFDL has come along (somewhat).
Fay looks about right for a 995 pressure over land, has a open area of divergence near the center (no precip) and has most of its strongest winds on the SE side and over the water in feeder bands. If Fay does jog ENE-ESE by just a dg to 79-80W then she does have 24hrs to make it back to hurricane status before the ridge gets her moving west back towards Cape-Daytona beach.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Fay East of New Smyrna Beach, Pressure Dropping MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 20 2008 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... kromdog   Thu Aug 21 2008 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 21 2008 05:31 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... CDMOrlando   Thu Aug 21 2008 03:55 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... berrywr   Thu Aug 21 2008 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 21 2008 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... StrmTrckrMiami   Thu Aug 21 2008 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Big Red Machine   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... SirCane   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:43 AM
. * * Bad News Good News danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:42 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... FloridaNative   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Genesis   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... vineyardsaker   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Colleen A.   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Risks vineyardsaker   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:25 AM
. * * Wind Speeds and Risks danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Genesis   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... vineyardsaker   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... metwannabe   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Colleen A.   Thu Aug 21 2008 12:04 AM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... metwannabe   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... watchinout   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:59 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... DMFischer   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... pcbjr   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Rob Moser   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Hugh   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... pcbjr   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... allan   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... supermom1   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Hugh   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:41 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... allan   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... watchinout   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... pcola   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Storm Cooper   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... pcbjr   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... SirCane   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:40 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... pcbjr   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:30 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... gatorman   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Captain Jed   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral OrlandoDan   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Trekman   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... DWalk   Wed Aug 20 2008 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... DebbiePSL   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:50 PM
. * * Re: 20miles east of cape canaveral LoisCane   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... Clark   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Fay reorganizing... vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 20 2008 06:04 PM
. * * Re: 20miles east of cape canaveral kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 05:47 PM
. * * Re: 20miles east of cape canaveral xxflcyclonexx   Wed Aug 20 2008 05:41 PM
. * * Fay reorganizing... wxman007   Wed Aug 20 2008 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Colleen A.   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral pcola   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral lsutigerfan   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Here in J-ville pcola   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:40 PM
. * * Here in J-ville Artsy Fartsy   Wed Aug 20 2008 04:17 PM
. * * Re: 20miles east of cape canaveral vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:53 PM
. * * Re: 20miles east of cape canaveral metwannabe   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral pcola   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:43 PM
. * * 20miles east of cape canaveral Robert   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Southern4sure   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Robert   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Mike   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Bruce   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Ed in Va   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral SeaMule   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral OrlandoDan   Wed Aug 20 2008 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral NewWatcher   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral allan   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:03 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:01 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral TampaSu   Wed Aug 20 2008 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral JMII   Wed Aug 20 2008 01:14 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Colleen A.   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral mcgowanmc   Wed Aug 20 2008 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral engicedave   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Steve H1   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:48 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral charlottefl   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:46 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Colleen A.   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:35 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral metwannabe   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral scottsvb   Wed Aug 20 2008 11:17 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral charlottefl   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Steve H1   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral kromdog   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:34 AM
. * * STALLED...AND THE MODELS WILL CHANGE SeaMule   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:24 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral NewWatcher   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:17 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral Steve H1   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Fay Over Cape Canaveral VolusiaMike   Wed Aug 20 2008 10:06 AM

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