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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)

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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

scottsvb
Weather Master

Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl

Re: Fay Loves Central Florida
Thu Aug 21 2008 10:01 AM

Fay has steering currents that have been subborn to say the least. I no longer expect Fay to be south of Crystal River, The ridge building north of her is just not far enough south and is more less seting up ENE-WNW by tonight. This should cause her to move W-WNW across the state. Due to the ridge building in further north, Fay has wobbled around on a general stop and go nw direction over the past 24hrs and is now about .5dg further north before her W movement.
I really dont know what else to say, but I expected her to be moving inland very soon, my time frame was 9am-12pm around 29.1N, I may only be off by .1-.3 but I still didnt expect a NW movement into a building ridge,especially when she first stalled out around 28.9N (last night). The ridging set up along the lines of the GFS-Ukmet instead of the GFS-ECMWF.
The main issue with Fay is the Rainfall! Period!, Wind is really not much of a factor unless you live near the center of landfall and in the squalls. I do expect some good feeder bands coming in from the gulf once Fay crosses west of 82W and 29.5N later tonight to set up from Tampa Bay north. These bands could produce gusts up to 40-50mph and sparadic tornados, especially from Pasco county north. Exact bands on where they set up is like trying to predict a lake effect snow squall band on who will get 6-10 inches while 5 miles away you get less than 2".

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Fay Floods North Florida	MikeC	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:01 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Sat Aug 23 2008 01:24 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Clark	Sat Aug 23 2008 01:16 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Beach	Sat Aug 23 2008 12:42 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	MichaelA	Sat Aug 23 2008 12:28 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Lamar-Plant City	Sat Aug 23 2008 11:55 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	mcgowanmc	Sat Aug 23 2008 10:25 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Sat Aug 23 2008 10:18 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	charlottefl	Sat Aug 23 2008 09:46 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	mcgowanmc	Sat Aug 23 2008 09:36 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Sat Aug 23 2008 09:09 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	gatorman	Sat Aug 23 2008 08:56 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Jumaduke	Sat Aug 23 2008 07:26 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Clark	Sat Aug 23 2008 02:37 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 23 2008 02:29 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 23 2008 12:41 AM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 23 2008 12:40 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 22 2008 10:33 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:44 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	ricky	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:36 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:29 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:18 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Clark	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:04 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:57 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	gatorman	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:55 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Trekman	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:47 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Fri Aug 22 2008 04:06 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 22 2008 03:48 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Clark	Fri Aug 22 2008 03:31 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Fri Aug 22 2008 02:57 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Tazmanian93	Fri Aug 22 2008 02:37 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 22 2008 02:25 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 22 2008 02:14 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	kromdog	Fri Aug 22 2008 01:11 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:55 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	MikeC	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:48 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	vineyardsaker	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:43 PM
HEADING WSW....HALFWAY OFFSHORE	SeaMule	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:37 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	MichaelA	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:32 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	doug	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:21 PM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 22 2008 10:51 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	redlevel	Fri Aug 22 2008 10:20 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	danielw	Fri Aug 22 2008 10:04 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	SeaMule	Fri Aug 22 2008 10:01 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	lsutigerfan	Fri Aug 22 2008 09:49 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	pcola	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:51 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	danielw	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:46 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	Jumaduke	Fri Aug 22 2008 07:20 AM
Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	kromdog	Fri Aug 22 2008 05:01 AM
Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?	berrywr	Fri Aug 22 2008 04:39 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	JoshuaK	Fri Aug 22 2008 03:29 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	DebbiePSL	Fri Aug 22 2008 01:23 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Storm Hunter	Fri Aug 22 2008 12:54 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Mozart	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:30 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Hugh	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:28 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	vineyardsaker	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:03 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Davida G	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:56 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	metwannabe	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:50 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:38 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:29 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	LoisCane	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:27 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:51 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:28 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	engicedave	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:27 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:16 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	engicedave	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:13 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	allan	Thu Aug 21 2008 08:06 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	LadyStorm	Thu Aug 21 2008 07:18 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	StormHound	Thu Aug 21 2008 07:05 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 21 2008 06:20 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 06:07 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	wxman007	Thu Aug 21 2008 06:03 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Thu Aug 21 2008 06:02 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 05:56 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Mpabner	Thu Aug 21 2008 05:15 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Wxwatcher2	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:34 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	RickR	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:32 PM
actual heading is more wsw....	SeaMule	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:31 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:28 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	engicedave	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:16 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	doug	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:11 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	StrmTrckrMiami	Thu Aug 21 2008 04:07 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Davida G	Thu Aug 21 2008 03:47 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Thu Aug 21 2008 03:38 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 21 2008 03:36 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Lee-Delray	Thu Aug 21 2008 03:32 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	pcola	Thu Aug 21 2008 03:18 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Lee-Delray	Thu Aug 21 2008 01:33 PM
Quick Update from Fernandina	Artsy Fartsy	Thu Aug 21 2008 12:34 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	scottsvb	Thu Aug 21 2008 12:21 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 12:15 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	angelswatch	Thu Aug 21 2008 12:02 PM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	scottsvb	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:53 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	scottsvb	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:45 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	charlottefl	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:43 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	HCW	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:39 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	metwannabe	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:33 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	charlottefl	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:08 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	scottsvb	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:07 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 21 2008 11:02 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	wpath	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:55 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:55 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Addicted2Cane	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:44 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	scottsvb	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:01 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	Lklnd_Wtchr	Thu Aug 21 2008 10:00 AM
heading wsw soon	SeaMule	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:42 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	kromdog	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:29 AM
Re: Fay Loves Central Florida	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 21 2008 09:28 AM

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