At 3p ET, Fay is located along the Lafayette/Suwanee Co. border between the small towns of Mayo and Branford, moving WNW at about 5 mph. Fay has a bit of an inner core right now, but the primary significant weather is found in a circular ring about 20-30 miles in width extending about 60-75 miles from its center. On the northeast side, on the right side of the storm, a number of tornado warnings have been issued for rotating cells within this band and another to its north.
On its current trajectory, Fay may not make it back to Apalachee Bay, perhaps just skirting its northern shore near St. Marks later tonight. Enough of the circulation envelope will end up over water to perhaps allow the storm to maintain minimal tropical storm intensity through the nighttime hours. The point here, though, is that it does not matter if the storm makes it back over water or not: this is still a significant rainfall event for the southeast/northeastern Gulf coast over the next few days.
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