Recon has been consistently finding 50 kt winds south of the center over the Gulf around 29-29.25N, suggesting that Fay held together over land better than anticipated. I expect to see Fay upgraded to a 45-50 kt tropical storm at 11p or, at the very least, to see an explanation for the SFMR and recon winds in the 11p discussion. Note, however, that over land -- and even on the coast -- the strongest winds are closer to the 30-35 mph range with gusts to tropical storm force at times. That is the more important consideration to human interests, not what the storm may be doing over the open waters of Apalachee Bay.
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Re: Fay's New Love Affair - New Orleans?
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