What ever happened to the new..., er old invest? Looks to me like a whole lot of turning around 13N and 33W, with but only a tad of convection seemingly in the middle of it all. Has got the ITZ all fired up due south of it. Meanwhile, looks like some E. Atlantic trough, just off Africa has been impacting it, but as this moves westward, may be something to once again watch.
94L DOES look like Fay; at least in the odd way that a fairly well established mid level took shape, but just wants to take its sweet time in working down to the surface. If 94L is anything like Fay, than it won't have any interest in forming until encountering land (kidding). Worse part is that the longer it takes to establish itself at the surface, than more than likely the farther west it'll go. GFDL really does go nuts with it. Lets see if any other models jump on the bandwagon. I think the EURO takes some system across Cuba and lookin for a couple Mojito's - visits South Beach, Fl! Then again, where the EURO has been wrangling with wanting to develop "something" and bringing it towards the Greater Antilles for days, its been jumping around a bit, so not to consistant. Then again, we don't yet have anything for the models to really latch onto yet.
Finally, "ex-95L" is still around. Not looking at all impressive, but am actually more focused on the area somewhat southeast of it around 18N. Not sure, but thought that I had noticed earlier today some level of loose vorticity in the cloud fragments. Was no convection to speak of, but now there is some firing up.
And now the 18Z GFS wants to bring something new off the African coast in about 168 hrs., and then quickly wind it up......busy times ahead.
|
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Fay & Future Features
Edit
Reply
Quote
