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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx

Re: Fay & Future Features
Mon Aug 25 2008 05:41 AM

Just a few items to add to what has already been said of 94L -
94L may not be as much like Fay as one might think:

Based on surface reports and microwave images, it appears that 94L has a better chance of already having a sufficiently tight closed surface circulation, and not merely an incredibly impressive mid-level low. Additionally, it is unlikely that 94 gets upgraded over land.. and to that point, also much more likely that 94L spends a good deal more time over warm water while it is still getting its act together than Fay did.

94 is already land-locked. Fay had a brief moment in time where she still could have scooted on out to sea. This will not be the case with 94. If indeed it is our next TC, as looks probable, it already has nowhere to go but on to one or more landfalls.

As for looking to models right now - forget them. None of the most recent model runs initialize 94L in much of any worthwhile way, if at all. Listen to what the NHC has to say. If you can't resist following along with the models, at least wait until tomorrow's runs are in. By then they may have had time to digest some accurate info and process it a little better.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Fay & Future Features	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:41 AM
Re: Fay & Future Features	flanewscameraman	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:47 AM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:41 AM
Re: Fay & Future Features	M.A.	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:21 AM
last microwave pass	Raymond	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:15 AM
Re: Fay & Future Features	cieldumort	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:41 AM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Storm Cooper	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:12 AM
Re: "Son of Fay"	LoisCane	Sun Aug 24 2008 11:57 PM
"Son of Fay"	weathernet	Sun Aug 24 2008 11:46 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	allan	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:25 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:09 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Hugh	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:01 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	weathernet	Sun Aug 24 2008 09:44 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	shewtinstar	Sun Aug 24 2008 09:23 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	metwannabe	Sun Aug 24 2008 08:36 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	johnnylightning	Sun Aug 24 2008 08:19 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Hugh	Sun Aug 24 2008 08:02 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	craigm	Sun Aug 24 2008 07:37 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Hugh	Sun Aug 24 2008 07:16 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	LoisCane	Sun Aug 24 2008 06:55 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Hugh	Sun Aug 24 2008 06:22 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	M.A.	Sun Aug 24 2008 05:30 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	weathernet	Sun Aug 24 2008 05:09 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	johnnylightning	Sun Aug 24 2008 04:31 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	MichaelA	Sun Aug 24 2008 12:43 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	CDMOrlando	Sun Aug 24 2008 12:07 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	CDMOrlando	Sun Aug 24 2008 12:04 PM
Re: Administrative Notes	weathernet	Sun Aug 24 2008 11:44 AM
Re: Administrative Notes	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:29 AM
Re: Administrative Notes	tropics	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:29 AM
Re: Administrative Notes	scottsvb	Sun Aug 24 2008 10:13 AM
Re: Administrative Notes	LoisCane	Sun Aug 24 2008 09:58 AM
Administrative Notes	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 23 2008 11:20 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	cate	Sat Aug 23 2008 07:41 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	gatorman	Sat Aug 23 2008 07:12 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	pcola	Sat Aug 23 2008 06:17 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	vineyardsaker	Sat Aug 23 2008 05:14 PM
Re: Fay & Future Features	Storm Hunter	Sat Aug 23 2008 05:02 PM

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