very interesting morning to say the least.... what is that hole there on the eastern side of the convection? models want have a good fix on things until we get a "center"... and judging by what i have seen this morning... i expect we have a decent system already on our hands.. shear is almost a non-threat to it right now... outflow in upper levels is almost perfect... got good banding on the southern side... whats underneath is what recon has to find out..
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Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today
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models want have a good fix on things until we get a "center"... and judging by what i have seen this morning... i expect we have a decent system already on our hands.. shear is almost a non-threat to it right now... outflow in upper levels is almost perfect... got good banding on the southern side... whats underneath is what recon has to find out.. 
