EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 319 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV... THINK THE NORTHEASTERN SYSTEM THE MODELS SPIN UP IN THE 60S LONGITUDE WELL TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUSTAV WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON GUSTAVS FUTURE TRACK OTHER THAN LEADING TO SLOW MOTION...WHICH WAS SEEN WITHIN THE MEAN LAYER WINDS OF THE 00Z ECMWF WHICH ADVERTISED WEST-NORTHWEST STEERING OF 5 KNOTS NEAR THE NHC TRACK. THIS CONTINUES TO BE SHOWN THE 12Z GUIDANCE SUITE...AS THE GUIDANCE NOW LIES WEST OF THE NHC TRACK. DUE TO A LACK OF SEPARATION BETWEEN GUSTAV AND THE SYSTEM IN THE ATLANTIC SUBTROPICS EARLY IN THE PERIOD...CHOSE TO DEPICT THE SYSTEM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUSTAV AS A SURFACE TROUGH AFTER COORDINATION WITH NHC/TPC. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO EARLY NEXT WEEK...LURED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY A MID-LEVEL LOW EXPECTED TO FORM NEAR THE GULF COAST.
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