#Beryl now a Hurricane with 75mph. Now Forecast to be a 120mph Major Hurricane near the Windwards on Monday. Hurricane Warnings now up for Barbados, Watches for other areas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
304 (Idalia)
, Major:
304 (Idalia)
Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia)
Major:
304 (Idalia)
I'm intrigued by TUTT to the NW, which will inhibit its movement in that direction - short term - and probably why it's forecast track is shifting west at this time. Gustav is still pretty compact and I'm not sure that previously noted eyewall is uniform through all layers. We've seen some of these tropical storms and minimal hurricanes get torn up by upper levels, and eventually the low-level circulation gets exposed and weakens. As NHC rightly noted, there is great uncertainty in the long term at this point, and very interesting to note that GFS/UK models seemingly weaken Gustav.
-------------------- "Let tomorrow worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own."
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