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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Things that go bump in the Night
Tue Aug 26 2008 08:22 AM

Gustav is going to raise many flags at the next Advisory.
It appears to have spun up in 24 hours from a "Special Trop. Disturbance" to an 80 mph Hurricane. I feel certain that the system was probably a Tropical Depression on Sunday and possibly a Tropical Storm on Sunday Night. Without RECON in there to confirm the NHC decided to hold off on the upgrade.

Gustav has raised my concern level a notch or two since yesterday. While the 80mph doesn't surprise me the change in the current Forecast Track is a bit surprising.
First, It places nearly the whole FL Peninsula in the Eastern Semicircle ( bad side) once the storm enters the GOM.

Second. While the current track (heading) is aimed at the Mouth of the Ms River. It still leave a large area for the storm to intensify and turn coastbound. Current extrapolated track is toward the SW FL Coastline and on toward Appalachicola area. This has changed a bit from the 11 AM advisory on Monday. At that time the extrrap. was aimed at the Mouth of the MS River.
Extrap. tend to move a great deal from Advisory to Advisory. Due to the Storm changing the location of the center or changes in heading direction.
(Extrap. is the black dashed line seen on the model maps.)

Once Gustav enters the GOM the forward speed and radius of winds will dictate how soon the Watches and Warnings go up.

Labor Day weekend could be spent glued to the tv's and radios. Instead of the sand and picnic tables.

Edited by danielw (Tue Aug 26 2008 08:39 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm (Hurricane) Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	MikeC	Tue Aug 26 2008 08:22 AM
Re: Hurricane Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 80MPH	danielw	Tue Aug 26 2008 08:43 AM
Things that go bump in the Night	danielw	Tue Aug 26 2008 08:22 AM
Hurricane Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 80MPH	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 26 2008 07:47 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	Storm Cooper	Tue Aug 26 2008 06:56 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 26 2008 06:27 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 26 2008 06:06 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	Robert	Tue Aug 26 2008 02:34 AM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	mikethewreck	Tue Aug 26 2008 12:57 AM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	craigm	Tue Aug 26 2008 12:57 AM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Hugh	Tue Aug 26 2008 12:45 AM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 26 2008 12:20 AM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Yo Ho, Edible Yards	Mon Aug 25 2008 11:58 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	craigm	Mon Aug 25 2008 11:47 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 25 2008 11:18 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Hugh	Mon Aug 25 2008 10:59 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MichaelA	Mon Aug 25 2008 09:29 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	RevUp	Mon Aug 25 2008 09:14 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 25 2008 09:01 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:56 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:40 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	CDMOrlando	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:30 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Gustav Forms in Central Caribbean 60MPH	Robert	Mon Aug 25 2008 08:05 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	scottsvb	Mon Aug 25 2008 07:49 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	LoisCane	Mon Aug 25 2008 07:32 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Thunderbird12	Mon Aug 25 2008 07:25 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 07:10 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	scottsvb	Mon Aug 25 2008 07:09 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	NewWatcher	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:28 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:25 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:12 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:07 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MichaelA	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:06 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:06 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:05 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:05 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MichaelA	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:04 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Rabbit	Mon Aug 25 2008 06:03 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	craigm	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:59 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:58 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	ChessieStorm	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:56 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	byrdlh	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:53 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Hurikid	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:51 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MikeC	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:51 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Lamar-Plant City	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:45 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:43 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	craigm	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:35 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:31 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MikeC	Mon Aug 25 2008 05:19 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 25 2008 04:27 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	AdvAutoBob	Mon Aug 25 2008 04:19 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	craigm	Mon Aug 25 2008 04:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Seven Forms in Central Caribbean	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 04:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Seven Forms in Central Caribbean	CDMOrlando	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:33 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	B_from_NC	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:28 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	metwannabe	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:25 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	saluki	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:17 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:03 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Lee-Delray	Mon Aug 25 2008 03:02 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	MichaelA	Mon Aug 25 2008 02:48 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 25 2008 01:51 PM
Re: Development in Central Caribbean Likely Today	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 25 2008 12:55 PM

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