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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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Colleen A.
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Reged:
Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati
      Tue Aug 26 2008 09:01 AM

Yes, you're right! Here's part of the 5am discussion:

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/8...THOUGH GUSTAV MAY RECENTLY BE
MOVING A BIT MORE TO THE RIGHT. THE BIGGEST CHANGE TO NOTE THIS
MORNING IS A DRAMATIC SOUTHWESTWARD SHIFT WITH ALMOST ALL GUIDANCE.
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EAST AWAY FROM GUSTAV...LEAVING RIDGING OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
FLORIDA. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE COME INTO MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THAT
THE HURRICANE WILL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR EVEN WEST IN A DAY
OR SO DUE TO THIS BUILDING RIDGE. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED SOUTHWESTWARD BEYOND 24 HR BUT IS STILL ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE FORECAST COULD HAVE BEEN
SHIFTED EVEN MORE TO THE LEFT BUT WE'D PREFER TO WAIT UNTIL THE
GUIDANCE BECOMES MORE STABLE.

As we all learned with FAY, timing is everything. What, where and when with Gustav will depend on the atmospheric conditions around him as he moves...and hopefully, maybe that west movement will pan out. At this point, everyone along the entire Gulf Coast needs to be watching and paying attention..especially with the upcoming holiday weekend coming up.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Gustav Over Haiti MikeCAdministrator Tue Aug 26 2008 09:01 AM
. * * Re: AFD Excerpts LoisCane   Wed Aug 27 2008 07:51 AM
. * * AFD Excerpts danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 27 2008 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 27 2008 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati hurricf   Wed Aug 27 2008 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Raymond   Wed Aug 27 2008 03:26 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 27 2008 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 27 2008 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 27 2008 12:36 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Chasingthespin   Tue Aug 26 2008 10:29 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati BillD   Tue Aug 26 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati DonaldT   Tue Aug 26 2008 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Hugh   Tue Aug 26 2008 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati craigm   Tue Aug 26 2008 06:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati metwannabe   Tue Aug 26 2008 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Rabbit   Tue Aug 26 2008 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Raymond   Tue Aug 26 2008 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati WeatherNut   Tue Aug 26 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati DonaldT   Tue Aug 26 2008 04:20 PM
. * * map of Haiti SeaMule   Tue Aug 26 2008 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati scottsvb   Tue Aug 26 2008 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Raymond   Tue Aug 26 2008 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati doug   Tue Aug 26 2008 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Ed in Va   Tue Aug 26 2008 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Genesis   Tue Aug 26 2008 02:23 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Robert   Tue Aug 26 2008 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 26 2008 01:40 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Storm Hunter   Tue Aug 26 2008 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati MikeCAdministrator   Tue Aug 26 2008 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati doug   Tue Aug 26 2008 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati MichaelA   Tue Aug 26 2008 11:49 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati LoisCane   Tue Aug 26 2008 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati MichaelA   Tue Aug 26 2008 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati doug   Tue Aug 26 2008 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Beach   Tue Aug 26 2008 09:56 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Evan Johnson   Tue Aug 26 2008 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Colleen A.   Tue Aug 26 2008 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati ftlaudbob   Tue Aug 26 2008 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati LoisCane   Tue Aug 26 2008 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Josh Delsman   Tue Aug 26 2008 08:44 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati Evan Johnson   Tue Aug 26 2008 08:43 AM

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