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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: parade time
      Fri Aug 29 2008 08:55 AM

Do me a favor and pull up the 850, 700, 500 (29/00Z not avbl), 300 and 200 mb height/temp with winds and height changes from NWS FTP Fax. Do a manual analysis of the contours and streamlines and you will note as does the watervapor loop the extension of the longwave trough over the Eastern US. You will note there is a clear break in the upper ridge with one center over TX and the other over FL, but no longer is there a ridge axis, but in fact a trough axis NE to SW oriented in the GOM. Whatever you're looking at over 19.5N and 97W is at best very shallow and the environment would be hostiale for development as per CIMMS Wind Shear Analysis that indicates 20 to 30 knot winds from the NW, only over land do the winds decrease to 10 knots.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gustav Over Jamaica, Hanna Holding Weak MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 29 2008 08:55 AM
. * * another center fix trial Raymond   Fri Aug 29 2008 10:05 AM
. * * Re: parade time Terra   Fri Aug 29 2008 09:34 AM
. * * Re: parade time berrywr   Fri Aug 29 2008 08:55 AM
. * * Recon in Gustav Raymond   Fri Aug 29 2008 08:34 AM
. * * Re: parade time xxflcyclonexx   Fri Aug 29 2008 05:15 AM
. * * Re: parade time Colleen A.   Fri Aug 29 2008 05:09 AM
. * * Re: parade time Colleen A.   Fri Aug 29 2008 04:33 AM
. * * Re: parade time metwannabe   Fri Aug 29 2008 03:13 AM
. * * Re: parade time Storm Hunter   Fri Aug 29 2008 01:22 AM
. * * Re: parade time Terra   Fri Aug 29 2008 01:09 AM
. * * parade time HanKFranK   Fri Aug 29 2008 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening JoshuaK   Thu Aug 28 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Gustav SHIPS Terra   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:54 PM
. * * Gustav SHIPS danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening MichaelA   Thu Aug 28 2008 06:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening Raymond   Thu Aug 28 2008 06:27 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening Wingman51   Thu Aug 28 2008 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 28 2008 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening StormHound   Thu Aug 28 2008 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening HCW   Thu Aug 28 2008 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening MillardDJr   Thu Aug 28 2008 03:47 PM
. * * NHC update quite conservative Raymond   Thu Aug 28 2008 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening kromdog   Thu Aug 28 2008 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening LoisCane   Thu Aug 28 2008 02:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 28 2008 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Hanna Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening WeatherNut   Thu Aug 28 2008 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening Jeff B   Thu Aug 28 2008 01:22 PM
. * * Yet Another Area to Watch danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 28 2008 01:03 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 8 Forms Northeast of Leewards, Gustav Moving Erratically, Strengthening allan   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:08 PM

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