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Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana
      Sat Aug 30 2008 08:06 AM

8:30PM EDT 31 August Update
Gustav now likely to make landfall in east central Louisiana as a major Catagory III hurricane. Last visisble light satellite imagery showed a significant convective bloom over and southwest of the eye and the recon aircraft reported a central pressure of 952MB. Sustained surface winds have likely increased to at least 120mph and since the forward motion of about 15mph to the northwest has not yet decreased, Gustav should make landfall as a firm Cat III storm. Wind gusts in higher structures within the eyewall at landfall could approach 150mph. The central core of the hurricane appears to be rebuilding. The primary feeder band of the hurricane reached New Orleans at 8PM with wind gusts to 47mph at the airport. Gustav should make landfall in the mid-morning hours on Monday.
ED

8:20AM EDT 31 August Update
Gustav Weakened a bit after crossing Cuba, but remained a Major Hurricane, and has a chance to recover strength today. The storm has picked up forward motion as is Currently Moving Northwest at 16mph which would put the storm at or near landfall tomorrow night around 8 or so CDT.

If you are in Coastal Louisiana or New Orleans now YOU SHOULD NOT BE LOOKING AT THIS PAGE and should be executing evacuation plans now.



Hurricane watches remain in effect from High Island Texas to the border of Alabama and Florida, including the city of New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. Tropical storm watches also remain in effect from the Alabama/Florida border to Ochlochonee River. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the western end of the Florida Keys, and tropical storm watches are in effect for the eastern keys. Mandatory evacuations have been ordered and are on-going in and around the New Orleans area. All persons in and around the watch area need to rush preparations to protect life and property, to completion.

11:15 pm Saturday Update

Hurricane Gustav now over the waters of the southeastern Gulf (23.1N/83.8W)

Hurricane watches remain in effect from High Island Texas to the border of Alabama and Florida, including the city of New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. Tropical storm watches also remain in effect from the Alabama/Florida border to Ochlochonee River. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the western end of the Florida Keys, and tropical storm watches are in effect for the eastern keys. Mandatory evacuations have been ordered and are on-going in and around the New Orleans area. All persons in and around the watch area need to rush preparations to protect life and property, to completion.

Gustav took a punch in the belly for his having passed over Cuba. As of 11pm, maximum sustained winds have decreased to 140mph, and the minimum central pressure has risen to 948mb. However, with weak to no shear and rich oceanic heat content along the expect track through the east-central Gulf, the forecast for strengthening to near Category 5 status unfortunately still exists, peaking around 155mph 24 hours from now. This may be conservative. Gustav's interaction with the enormous heat potential of the Loop Current has yet to occur. Re-intensification is already underway, as recent satellite images are showing cooling cloud tops amid the CDO region, and the eye beginning to reappear. The long range radar from Key West, Florida, also shows a very sharply defined eye.

Gustav is forecast to make landfall as a very powerful hurricane, most likely near the Mississippi Delta region, between 36 and 48 hours from now; although it is important to point out that absolute certainty regarding the landfall location still can not be made.

John (typhoon_tip)

5:00 pm Saturday Update

Hurricane watch has been issued from High Island Texas to the border of Alabama and Florida, including the city of New Orleans and Lake Ponchartrain. Hurricanes conditions may develop anywhere in this watch area in 36 hours time. Preparations to secure safety and property should be well underway and completed prior to the expected arrival of very dangerous and powerful Hurricane Gustav. Evacuations in New Orleans and surrounding areas have already begun. A tropical storm watch has also been issued from Alabama/Florida border east to the Ochlockonee River.

Gustav continues to strengthen as it approaches western Cuba. As of the 5pm advisory, maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph, placing Gustav a mere 5 mph shy of the Category 4/Category 5 threshold. Minimum pressure is currently 942mb.

The Tropical Prediction Center has maintained their intensity forecast, expecting the maximum sustained winds to reach as high as 140kts (160mph) during and shortly after Gustav tracks bodily across the famed Loop Current (a large eddy of particularly warm waters that also extends to greater depths than normal) in the southeastern Gulf. Currently, Gustav has responded to a weakness in the ridge over the northern Gulf and that is why were are seeing a discerned northwest motion. This is expected to continue until the point of landfall; where precisely that landfall takes place can not yet be pin-pointed, but a landfall in the northern Gulf is of higher confidence.

John (typhoon_tip)

1:30 pm Saturday Update
Gustav has continued to intensify today with peak winds now at 145 mph. Gustav is a strong category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale and further strengthening is possible before it makes landfall in western Cuba this evening.

Original Update
Hurricane Gustav has become a category 3 storm, with 120MPH winds as of 5PM, and recon just recently reported a pressure drop to 955mb which indicates it has grown even stronger.



The forecast track has the 3 day cone with Gustav nearing the coast Tuesday morning in an area from Northeast Texas to Alabama, with Louisiana in the middle. Most of the model guidence takes it to Central Louisiana, and it may slow down forward motion significantly as it nears the coastline or crosses over the coast making extended winds/rain likely in the landfall area.

Those in those areas should pay attention to local media and officials and official weather statements from your area. Those in areas that take a while to evacuate along the Louisiana coastline should start so now. Areas in the expanded cone should continue to watch too, especially after Gustav gets north of Cuba.

Tropical Storm Hanna's center is away from most of the convection, but it's moving generally westward, the forecast keeps it gaining strength slowly, and eventually moving southwest (which is extremely rare for hurricanes and tropical storms in this area). Avila in the 5AM discussion even mentioned Hurricane Betsy (1965) as another storm that did something similar and how today's models would react to that. That said, there appears to be even more uncertainty in the future track than with Gustav.

Also in the eastern Atlantic is a tropical wave (97L) which has the potential to develop over the next few days, and is the first likely candidate this year for a long track system (tropical depression or higher).


Graphic showing elevations of New Orleans

Emergency Management/County info
Gulf Coast Storm Alert Network
FloridaDisaster.org - Florida Emergency Management
Mississippi Emer. Management
State of Florida Division of Emergency Management/floridadisaster.org
Louisiana Emergency Management
Lousiana Evac Maps

Video/Audio Links/Webcams
NOAA Weather Radio out of New Orleans
Hurricane City - Live Audio and Video
HurricaneTrack/Mark Sudduth HIRT Team
New Orleans Webcams
French Quarter Cam
Multiple webcams located at the Port of New Orleans
Lake Ponchartrain Causeway
Metarie Webcam
Louisana Instacams
GregLeder Backyard webcam with battery backup
Maroonspoon multiple live coverage of Gustav New Orleans: WGNO, WWL, WDSU, WVUE (Mute individual ones to focus)
New Orleans Police Scanner (Req. Winamp)
Lousiana EM Radio Chatter



Louisiana DOT Traffic Cameras

Television/Radio
WWL TV 4 (CBS Affiliate in New Orleans) HERE
ABC 26 TV (ABC Affiliate in New Orleans)
WDSU Channel 6 (NBC Affiliate New Orleans)
Fox 8 (New Orleans)
WTIX 690 News Radio
WWL 870 News Radio
Hurricane Now - Video reports from former CNN hurrican reporter Jeff Flock
Weathervine.com
WKRG 5 in Mobile/Pensacola
WPMI Channel 15 from Mobile

Other
NOLA - Everything New Orleans

-- Looking for more Video/Audio links for the approach areas, please let us know if you have any links/information!


Key West Long Range Radar with hint of Gustav

Storm Surge Risks with Gustav along Louisiana

Google Map Plot of Both Gustav and Hanna

Flhurricane Long Term Recording of Cuban radar mosaic
{{StormCarib}}


{{radarlink|lix|New Orleans, LA Radar}}
{{radarlink|lch|Lake Charles, LA Radar}}
{{StormLinks|Gustav|07|7|2008|1|Gustav}}



Caribbean Islands Weather Reports

{{StormLinks|Hanna|08|8|2008|2|Hanna}}

{{StormLinks|97L|97|9|2008|3|97L}}

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Aug 31 2008 09:01 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 30 2008 08:06 AM
. * * Levees Colleen A.   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana LoisCane   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana mcgowanmc   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:42 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana mcgowanmc   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana chase 22   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Raymond   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:11 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:05 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 05:15 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Wrong Number Bassist   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Hanna cieldumort   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:20 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Steve H1   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Troy C   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Hanna scottsvb   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:47 PM
. * * Gustov Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Hanna flahurricane   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:37 PM
. * * Hanna Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Concern flahurricane   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Concern danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Concern Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:02 PM
. * * Concern Rasvar   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:45 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:17 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:54 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs flahurricane   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:44 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs pcola   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:39 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs FIREREALTY   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:03 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs mcgowanmc   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:51 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Hurikid   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:45 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:44 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Hugh   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:38 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:34 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:30 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth bigpapi   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:26 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:13 PM
. * * conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:43 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West mcgowanmc   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:27 PM
. * * curvature of the earth JulieTampa   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:15 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West Rich B   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West hurricane expert   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West allan   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info msdejesus   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:49 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info Hugh   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:00 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic Geoff   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info RevUp   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:58 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic DWard   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info RU12   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:34 PM
. * * Storm Info danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:24 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:07 PM
. * * New Orleans Traffic danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:52 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder scottsvb   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Texas Cane Tracker   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder pcola   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:55 AM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:21 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co RevUp   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:19 AM
. * * Basic rules reminder RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:43 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:59 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co flahurricane   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:17 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co flanewscameraman   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:04 AM
. * * gustav/hanna/co HanKFranK   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:52 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA cieldumort   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:25 AM
. * * Nagin in NOLA danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:06 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:48 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Thunderbird12   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:05 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West StrmTrckrMiami   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West FIREREALTY   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Seminolestormwatcher   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West madmumbler   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? mcgowanmc   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? Beach   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? MichaelA   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? MichaelA   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:47 PM
. * * Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West WeatherNut   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:48 PM
. * * Re: NNW Wobble berrywr   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:40 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West watchinout   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West jf   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:26 PM
. * * NNW Wobble Beach   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:10 PM
. * * Re: What is your take on Hanna? native   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:02 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West jf   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:55 PM
. * * What is your take on Hanna? vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West native   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West typhoon_tip   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Random Chaos   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Bloodstar   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall Replacement cieldumort   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West pcola   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Tazmanian93   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Rich B   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:20 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West allan   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:18 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:11 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West cieldumort   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall Replacement allan   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:01 PM
. * * Eyewall Replacement TheElNino1   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:46 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:33 PM
. * * Re: Gustav on Radar Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:31 PM
. * * Gustav on Radar danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West CDMOrlando   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West cmoore   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West kromdog   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Hurikid   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West kromdog   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West B_from_NC   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Hurricane Again, and Watching Tropical Hanna DMFischer   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:40 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West mcgowanmc   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:54 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:26 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West MichaelA   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:16 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:50 AM

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