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scottsvb
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Basic rules reminder
      Sun Aug 31 2008 03:11 PM

Ok Gustav looks on track towards the Lake Charles area BUT NOLA will get at least a min hurricane out of this as it will come within 50miles of NOLA + on top of that NOLA will be on the eastern side of Gustav. Heavy rains, tornados, flooding...just a mess. Any deviation to the right will bring the Cat 2 + winds to NOLA. I hope everyone from Biloxi,Ms-all of LA coastline is prepared or will be by sunset as this makes landfall Monday late in the day or later that night.

With Hanna, I have a beef with the NHC and I usually dont go against my fellow friends there , but what are they looking at? First off, the center isn't where they have it @ 23.3N and 70W, The center is @ 24N and 70.7W. That is a big difference really! The intensity is correct, but also some of the reasoning just isnt there. First off a weaker system will follow the Ukmets solution (as they did note but didnt say why) while a stronger system will go along more with the GFS and GFDL and stall her as she gets traped between ridges and axis trough digging down from the north. Right now the trough axis is progressing ever so slightly slower than the 0z and 6z runs have showed and Hanna is a weaker system and will probably go with the LLF towards the SE Bahama chain (ala Ukmet-CMC-Lbar) and I hate to use them models but in this case, they could be right on. Now if Hanna does somehow get SW and strengthens into a strong TS by later tonight, then it be interesting on where this happens and what are the varibles of the ridges, gustav prox, upper trough axis strength and postion to her N + more.

Right now I cant make a forecast on Hanna until Monday afternoon, and will do so in the Hanna forecast lounge, but I want to see what evolves today into tonight, and lets get the 1st thing straight, and thats the location of the center near 24N and 70.7W moving W@10mph and will start moving WSW later today into tonight!

scottsvb

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana MikeCAdministrator Sun Aug 31 2008 03:11 PM
. * * Levees Colleen A.   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:48 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana LoisCane   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:45 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana mcgowanmc   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana mcgowanmc   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:34 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana chase 22   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:43 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Raymond   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Thunderbird12   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Major Hurricane Gustav Closing in on Louisiana Wrong Number Bassist   Mon Sep 01 2008 05:01 AM
. * * Re: Hanna cieldumort   Mon Sep 01 2008 04:20 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Steve H1   Mon Sep 01 2008 04:11 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Troy C   Mon Sep 01 2008 03:00 AM
. * * Re: Hanna scottsvb   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:47 AM
. * * Gustov Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Hanna flahurricane   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Random Chaos   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:37 AM
. * * Hanna Colleen A.   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Concern flahurricane   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:31 AM
. * * Re: Concern danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:30 AM
. * * Re: Concern Colleen A.   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:02 AM
. * * Concern Rasvar   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:45 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs RedingtonBeachGuy   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:40 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:17 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Colleen A.   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:54 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs flahurricane   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:44 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs pcola   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:39 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs FIREREALTY   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:21 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 01 2008 12:03 AM
. * * Re: conflicting signs mcgowanmc   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:52 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:51 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Hurikid   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:45 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:44 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Hugh   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:38 PM
. * * Re: conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:34 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth Storm Hunter   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:30 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth bigpapi   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:26 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:13 PM
. * * conflicting signs Raymond   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:43 PM
. * * Re: curvature of the earth Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West mcgowanmc   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:27 PM
. * * curvature of the earth JulieTampa   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:23 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sun Aug 31 2008 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West Rich B   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West hurricane expert   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane in Gulf, Hanna Moving West allan   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info msdejesus   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info Hugh   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:00 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic Geoff   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:58 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info RevUp   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:58 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic DWard   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Storm Info RU12   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:34 PM
. * * Storm Info danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:24 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans Traffic RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:07 PM
. * * New Orleans Traffic danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:52 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder scottsvb   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Random Chaos   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Texas Cane Tracker   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder pcola   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Basic rules reminder Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:21 PM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co RevUp   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:19 PM
. * * Basic rules reminder RedingtonBeachGuy   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:43 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 08:13 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA berrywr   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:59 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co flahurricane   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:17 AM
. * * Re: gustav/hanna/co flanewscameraman   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:04 AM
. * * gustav/hanna/co HanKFranK   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:53 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:52 AM
. * * Re: Nagin in NOLA cieldumort   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:25 AM
. * * Nagin in NOLA danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 04:06 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West vineyardsaker   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:48 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:11 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Thunderbird12   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:05 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West StrmTrckrMiami   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West FIREREALTY   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Seminolestormwatcher   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:22 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West madmumbler   Sun Aug 31 2008 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? mcgowanmc   Sun Aug 31 2008 01:30 AM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? Beach   Sun Aug 31 2008 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? MichaelA   Sun Aug 31 2008 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:58 AM
. * * Re: Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? MichaelA   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:47 AM
. * * Did you notice the storm surge prediction for Gustav? vineyardsaker   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West WeatherNut   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:48 PM
. * * Re: NNW Wobble berrywr   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:40 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West watchinout   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West jf   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:26 PM
. * * NNW Wobble Beach   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Ronn   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:10 PM
. * * Re: What is your take on Hanna? native   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West jf   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:55 PM
. * * What is your take on Hanna? vineyardsaker   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West native   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West typhoon_tip   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Random Chaos   Sat Aug 30 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Bloodstar   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:45 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Aug 30 2008 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall Replacement cieldumort   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West pcola   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:41 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Tazmanian93   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:36 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Rich B   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Lamar-Plant City   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West allan   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:09 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West cieldumort   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:04 PM
. * * Re: Eyewall Replacement allan   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:01 PM
. * * Eyewall Replacement TheElNino1   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Steve H1   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Gustav on Radar Storm Hunter   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:31 PM
. * * Gustav on Radar danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West CDMOrlando   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West cmoore   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West kromdog   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Hurikid   Sat Aug 30 2008 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West kromdog   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West B_from_NC   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Hurricane Again, and Watching Tropical Hanna DMFischer   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West mcgowanmc   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West Colleen A.   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:13 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West smorse22   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West MichaelA   Sat Aug 30 2008 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Gustav a Major Hurricane, Hanna Moving West MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:50 PM

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