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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

Clark
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 1710
Re: Question on 5pm track
      Tue Sep 02 2008 11:50 PM

Quote:

If you play connect the dots, the 72 hour position is off of Jacksonville and then the 96 hour position is in Virginia. If you draw a straight line from one to the other, the storm stays off shore until it impacts Charleston..this is a Northward track (almost NNE).
Am I correct in my thinking that actually the storm will not move straight (point to point) but more of a curved path that may bring the storm into Georgia as it moves through Friday night into Saturday????

All of this is of course based on current forecasting which we all know can vary greatly over three days.

Thanks




It is likely that there will be a little bit of curvature to the track that a straight line simply cannot account for, but not a large amount. But -- don't focus on the track line itself! Track errors in the 72-84 hr time frame are over a couple of hundred of miles. All of the eastern seaboard is well within the cone of error with Hanna's forecast track and that is what everyone should focus upon. Thus, prepare as though the storm will hit, even if it misses just to the east or well to the east.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Josephine Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 02 2008 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my doug   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:21 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:53 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my shewtinstar   Wed Sep 03 2008 11:38 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Raymond   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Rich B   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:32 AM
. * * Hanna may have some characteristics that change the game today cieldumort   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:27 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Raymond   Wed Sep 03 2008 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Clark   Wed Sep 03 2008 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 04:17 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my JonB   Wed Sep 03 2008 03:57 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my lunkerhunter   Wed Sep 03 2008 03:06 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my RevUp   Wed Sep 03 2008 02:54 AM
. * * Re: can two systems actually collide? lunkerhunter   Wed Sep 03 2008 02:53 AM
. * * Re: can two systems actually collide? Myles   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:35 AM
. * * Re: can two systems actually collide? Lee-Delray   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:58 AM
. * * can two systems actually collide? vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:53 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Rasvar   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my shewtinstar   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Question on 5pm track engicedave   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Bev   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Hugh   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Lee-Delray   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:57 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Tammster   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Question on 5pm track Clark   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Clark   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:47 PM
. * * Question on 5pm track Scott3294   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Hugh   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:27 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Tammster   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:34 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my vineyardsaker   Tue Sep 02 2008 09:14 PM
. * * Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my Clark   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Big Surprise!!!-Center of Hannah totally reformed Raymond   Tue Sep 02 2008 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Big Surprise!!!-Center of Hannah totally reformed Thunderbird12   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Big Surprise!!!-Center of Hannah totally reformed craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:32 PM
. * * Re: Big Surprise!!!-Center of Hannah totally reformed craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:22 PM
. * * Big Surprise!!!-Center of Hannah totally reformed Raymond   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:19 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land native   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:50 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:13 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Steve H1   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:00 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Lee-Delray   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:49 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land scottsvb   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:22 PM
. * * Josephine forms ftlaudbob   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:20 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:05 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land PFSThunder   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:49 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Patrick99   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:37 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:13 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land weathernet   Tue Sep 02 2008 01:54 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Random Chaos   Tue Sep 02 2008 01:45 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Raymond   Tue Sep 02 2008 01:24 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 01:18 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 02 2008 01:08 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land Colleen A.   Tue Sep 02 2008 12:56 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land John C   Tue Sep 02 2008 12:52 PM
. * * Re: TD#10 Forms in East Atlantic, Hanna Slowly Drifting, Ike Moving, West, Gustav Over Land metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 12:47 PM

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