F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Area off the Southeast US Coast has a 10% to develop, either way will be wet in parts of the Southeast/NC this weekend. Beryl gone but not forgotten in Houston area where power outages still are widespread.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 4 (Beryl) , Major: 317 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 317 (Idalia) Major: 317 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge

Bev
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 132
Loc: Port Charlotte, FL and Abaco, ...
Re: Concern
      Thu Sep 04 2008 05:32 PM

Ed,
One excellent reason for posting an early state of emergency is to prevent price gouging for those purchasing supplies and fuel. If for no other reason, that's a positive result that saves significant amounts of money for people just beginning to prepare for the hurricane season. Without that preventive measure your gas might shoot up a couple $ per gallon as people try to profit from those preparing for a possible storm.

In addition, strength forecasting is one of the most difficult and error-prone areas of hurricane studies. It's difficult for the models and the mets. Better safe than sorry would the motto of the officials.

Although I can agree that any hint of a storm leads to near hysteria these days, when in past years we simply prepared our properties and got out of the way. (or some of us, right in the way I attribute this change to the non-stop Katrina sensationalism that continues to this day.

In some ways it's good, it was a strong wake-up call for government agencies, local, state and national. In other ways it isn't so good as it seems to reduce the populace to a panicked mess. When Gustav was clearly headed for NO and not the west coast of FL, we still received 103 phone calls from elderly people who wanted their homes boarded up now, this instant, hurry! We only received 4 calls prior to Charley, many barrier island folks didn't evacuate and we were ground zero until that last minute dash into Port Charlotte. The contrast is stark.

So as lessons are learned, the pendulum will swing from hyper-alertness back into complacency if we aren't hit again by a major storm any time soon. But yes, there is the "cry wolf" syndrome to consider. That will usher in the complacency. I imagine fewer will leave NO next time, as their experience with the Gustav evacuation was unpleasant and costly when they weren't allowed to return home for many days. Unfortunate but inevitable.

--------------------
Survived Charley at Cat 4 under a staircase. Won't do that again. I watch SW Florida and Abaco primarily.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hanna Lounge weathernet Thu Sep 04 2008 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Concern saluki   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:21 AM
. * * Re: Concern cieldumort   Mon Sep 01 2008 07:29 AM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Mon Sep 01 2008 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Concern craigm   Mon Sep 01 2008 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Concern Storm Hunter   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Concern Ed in Va   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:39 PM
. * * Re: Concern hurricane_run   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Concern ftlaudbob   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Concern MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 01 2008 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Mon Sep 01 2008 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Concern JMII   Mon Sep 01 2008 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Concern JulieTampa   Mon Sep 01 2008 11:01 PM
. * * Re: Concern John C   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:43 AM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Concern JMII   Tue Sep 02 2008 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Concern mcgowanmc   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:22 AM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Concern weathernet   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Concern Lamar-Plant City   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:43 AM
. * * Re: Concern redlevel   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Concern weathernet   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Concern craigm   Tue Sep 02 2008 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Concern weathernet   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Tue Sep 02 2008 08:52 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 11:14 PM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Concern JMII   Wed Sep 03 2008 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Wed Sep 03 2008 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Concern Lamar-Plant City   Wed Sep 03 2008 12:26 PM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Concern Bev   Wed Sep 03 2008 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Concern JMII   Wed Sep 03 2008 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Wed Sep 03 2008 02:41 PM
. * * Re: Concern ftlaudbob   Wed Sep 03 2008 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Wed Sep 03 2008 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Concern MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 04 2008 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Concern John C   Thu Sep 04 2008 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Concern doug   Thu Sep 04 2008 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Thu Sep 04 2008 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Concern doug   Thu Sep 04 2008 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Concern Bev   Thu Sep 04 2008 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Concern TPuppy   Fri Sep 05 2008 12:26 AM
. * * Beginnings syfr   Fri Sep 05 2008 07:39 PM
. * * Re: Concern Ed in Va   Thu Sep 04 2008 03:43 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Thu Sep 04 2008 06:32 PM
. * * Re: Concern Ed in Va   Thu Sep 04 2008 11:33 AM
. * * Re: Concern uprlevlo   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Concern uprlevlo   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Concern saltysenior   Tue Sep 02 2008 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Concern OrlandoDan   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Concern Ed in Va   Tue Sep 02 2008 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Concern JMII   Tue Sep 02 2008 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Concern Joe   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:19 PM
. * * Re: Concern Patrick99   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Concern bahamaweather   Tue Sep 02 2008 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 12:51 PM
. * * Re: Concern weathernet   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Concern LoisCane   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:51 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Tue Sep 02 2008 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Tue Sep 02 2008 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Concern conuscaster   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Concern metwannabe   Mon Sep 01 2008 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Concern Hugh   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:37 PM
. * * Re: Concern Evan Johnson   Mon Sep 01 2008 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Concern scottsvb   Mon Sep 01 2008 02:29 PM
. * * Re: Concern ftlaudbob   Mon Sep 01 2008 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Crusadier95   Thu Aug 28 2008 04:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge craigm   Thu Aug 28 2008 06:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Lee-Delray   Thu Aug 28 2008 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge craigm   Thu Aug 28 2008 06:09 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge metwannabe   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:42 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Storm Hunter   Thu Aug 28 2008 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge saluki   Fri Aug 29 2008 01:10 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Evan Johnson   Fri Aug 29 2008 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge hogrunr   Fri Aug 29 2008 09:21 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge JMII   Sat Aug 30 2008 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge craigm   Sat Aug 30 2008 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge saluki   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge native   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge scottsvb   Sat Aug 30 2008 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Evan Johnson   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge cjzydeco   Sat Aug 30 2008 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge RevUp   Sun Aug 31 2008 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge JMII   Sun Aug 31 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Brent K.   Sun Aug 31 2008 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Brent K.   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge JulieTampa   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge craigm   Sun Aug 31 2008 10:09 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 31 2008 07:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge Storm Cooper   Sun Aug 31 2008 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge scottsvb   Thu Aug 28 2008 10:56 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Lounge metwannabe   Thu Aug 28 2008 11:18 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 ftlaudbob   Thu Aug 28 2008 07:30 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 craigm   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:15 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) doug   Thu Aug 28 2008 09:24 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) craigm   Thu Aug 28 2008 11:35 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) insight   Sat Aug 30 2008 09:16 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) cjzydeco   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:36 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) Evan Johnson   Sun Aug 31 2008 11:50 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) native   Sun Aug 31 2008 12:32 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) Evan Johnson   Sun Aug 31 2008 01:12 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) CrisLrmr@aol.com   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:01 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) Evan Johnson   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:19 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) Ed in Va   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:29 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) metwannabe   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:34 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) StormHound   Thu Aug 28 2008 12:51 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) scottsvb   Thu Aug 28 2008 01:51 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 (Hanna) MichaelA   Thu Aug 28 2008 02:37 PM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 Evan Johnson   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:48 AM
. * * Re: T.D. 8 MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 28 2008 08:54 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 101 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 62089

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center