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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 275 (Idalia) , Major: 275 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 275 (Idalia) Major: 275 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2008 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin
      Sat Sep 06 2008 02:15 AM

Quote:


What Spaghetti Model(s) "tools" do you follow, based on your "experience(s)", or the top 5 Spaghetti models you place your confidence in?



The short answer is none, some, all, and very few some of the time.

If you are trying to reinvent the wheel and out-forecast the NHC (we all do it!) it can be a learning experience, and fun. But if you are merely trying to make your hurricane preparedness plans around models, my advice is always DON'T! Go with the official forecasts from the NHC, your local National Weather Service, the main page here on CFHC, and some of the reputable commercial weather forecasting services only.. some of these could be your better local TV mets, and I always highly recommend TWC. When it comes to forecasting and explaining hurricanes, Dr. Lyons is pretty hard to beat.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin Docster Sat Sep 06 2008 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin cieldumort   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin Docster   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:26 AM
. * * Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin weathernet   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin Neverwinter   Wed Sep 10 2008 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Ike jogging North? doug   Wed Sep 10 2008 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Ike jogging North? doug   Wed Sep 10 2008 03:45 PM
. * * Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin Docster   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:21 AM

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