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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
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Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely
      Sat Sep 06 2008 01:06 PM

Very interesting! The shear must have been relaxed quite a lot. The outflow has improved quite much and the convection is much stronger, especially in the northwestern half. The last microwave pass has revealed the surprise: Ike has formed a complete second outer wall and there is obviously the first eyewall replacement cycle starting! So at least no rapid intensification to expect in the face of the improved conditions!
And what becomes more and more obvious: Ike will make a first landfall in about 24 hours on Cuba. The question is: Will it stay close to oder over the northern coast or will it move for a long time more in the middle of Cuba. So weakening will be more or less significant, but modells also still show in any case a reintensification to a major hurricane in the Gulf. Conditions should be quite good for this.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 06 2008 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Drops dolfinatic   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:00 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Drops Genesis   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:53 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:39 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:20 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 06:14 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:47 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:36 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:19 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:11 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:54 AM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:31 AM
. * * Re: Drops stormchazer   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:22 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:21 AM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:19 AM
. * * Re: Drops CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Drops doug   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:08 AM
. * * Re: Drops danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:59 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:50 AM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Drops RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:59 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Drops Random Chaos   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:28 PM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Drops WPB Ken   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Drops Texas Cane Tracker   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:40 PM
. * * Re: OOPS Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:34 PM
. * * OOPS danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Drops JulieTampa   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Drops Mag   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Drops pcbjr   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:35 PM
. * * Drops danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest KJJAXFL   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:21 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Sheeper   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Pcola DWard   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:51 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Terra   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:23 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:12 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:53 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:44 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:39 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:11 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! hurricane expert   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:08 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:45 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:42 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:19 PM
. * * New Orleans again?! vineyardsaker   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Colleen A.   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely RevUp   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely madmumbler   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Lee-Delray   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:46 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest shewtinstar   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:15 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:11 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Models CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:16 PM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:15 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:09 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:59 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:23 PM

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