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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1237
Loc: South Florida
Re: Drops
      Sat Sep 06 2008 11:21 PM

Good comment on priorities. The GOM is in play for the end game but for the short term it has to tangle with Cuba it seems. Personally I think it might move along the north coast and not as far inland as there has been less and less a southward component and a few bobbles of the eye that looked like it wants to pull just enough north of west sooner rather than later and spare the length and breath of the island. However, with cat 4 storms the eye wobbles, it breathes sort of and the shape changes and what can look like a wobble wnw could only be the eye blinking or a part of an eye wall replacement cycle.

The last several frames look like just south of due west.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/sloop-avn.html

Longer loops look WSW

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-avn.html

I agree with a few people that said a slow down over Cuba could cause a sharper turn into the GOM later. Hadn't thought that much on it but yes that makes sense.

So speed, forward speed not just wind speed will make all the difference.

Key West is VERY far west, which may sound redundant but needs repeating so it has a long ways to go before it gets closer and so it's harder to tell where it will be that far down the cone.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest MikeCAdministrator Sat Sep 06 2008 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Drops dolfinatic   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:00 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Drops Genesis   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:53 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:20 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:14 AM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:19 AM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:11 AM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Drops stormchazer   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Drops LoisCane   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:19 PM
. * * Re: Drops CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops doug   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Drops danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:59 PM
. * * Re: Drops ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Drops BillD   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Drops RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Drops Random Chaos   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:28 PM
. * * Re: Drops kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:25 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Drops flahurricane   Sat Sep 06 2008 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Drops WPB Ken   Sat Sep 06 2008 06:30 PM
. * * Re: Drops smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Drops Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Drops Texas Cane Tracker   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:40 PM
. * * Re: OOPS Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:34 PM
. * * OOPS danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Drops JulieTampa   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Drops Mag   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Drops pcbjr   Sat Sep 06 2008 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Drops Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:35 PM
. * * Drops danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest KJJAXFL   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:21 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Sheeper   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:03 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Pcola DWard   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:51 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Terra   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:23 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 02:12 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:53 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:44 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:39 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Storm Hunter   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:20 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:18 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:11 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! hurricane expert   Sat Sep 06 2008 01:08 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:45 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:42 PM
. * * Re: New Orleans again?! danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:19 PM
. * * New Orleans again?! vineyardsaker   Sat Sep 06 2008 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:41 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:37 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Colleen A.   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:12 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely RevUp   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely madmumbler   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely scottsvb   Sat Sep 06 2008 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Lee-Delray   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely kromdog   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest shewtinstar   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:16 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Hugh   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:15 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:11 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Models CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:31 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:27 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely smorse22   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:16 AM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely GLT   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:09 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely Raymond   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:06 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely CDMOrlando   Sat Sep 06 2008 09:05 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely ftlaudbob   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Hanna Landfall at the SC/NC Border, Ike Going West Southwest Florida Threat Less Likely pcola   Sat Sep 06 2008 08:23 AM

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