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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 279 (Idalia) , Major: 279 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 279 (Idalia) Major: 279 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks
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Raymond
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Germany
Re: Wind Speeds and Category
      Mon Sep 08 2008 08:27 AM

At this time all my feelings are with the cuban people, which suffer Ike´s fury. This is a horrible catatrophe for this country, which effects nearly all of the country. Don´t want to be come overly political, but I certainly don´t like the attitude of the US government to not lift the embargo for some time for some help in the face of this catastrophe.
I know the home of this forum is in Florida in the US and all your concerns are of course for the coming US landfall of Ike. Sometimes I have a bit of a feeling, as Cuba is seen as a kind of impersonal obstacle in the way of Ike, which has the positive effect of weakening Ike and making him less dangerous for a later US landfall. If this would be the case, I would wish, that you can feel, that there are people like you on Cuba, which suffer like you would be in the face of such a catastrophe.

Now to the meteorological situation: Cuban radar shows Ike continue to move to the west. Only around 6 hours longer of this west track and Ike`s core would be over the warm waters of the Caribbean Sea. So very small deviations can have a lot of impact.
Latest GFS/GFDL/HWRF model runs are a bit frightening conerning the later US landfall. All three slow Ike down around day 5 at a bit differnet points with a N/NE turn. The GFS does it already a bit before the coast , the strormfield already effecting the coastline and this for a very long time and then turning it NE to Alabama or so. Ike is till over the Gulf at +168 h. The GFDL slows it down a bit later around the landfall in the middle of Louisiana around +126 h. The HWRF is the most horrible for New Orleans. It also slows down Ike just before the coast of Louisiana. It´s still over water at +126 and you see with the last frame, that it turns NNE, which would mean, that IKe would move directly over New Orleans later on.
This isn´t the point to worry too much about the US landfall, because modell shifts are still huge and the whole of the northern US gulf coast is under the gun.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator Mon Sep 08 2008 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Random Chaos   Mon Sep 08 2008 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Storm Cooper   Mon Sep 08 2008 08:41 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Raymond   Mon Sep 08 2008 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category cate   Mon Sep 08 2008 06:36 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Rasvar   Mon Sep 08 2008 05:29 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category scottsvb   Mon Sep 08 2008 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical cieldumort   Mon Sep 08 2008 04:40 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category HCW   Mon Sep 08 2008 03:44 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 03:44 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Hugh   Mon Sep 08 2008 02:48 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category LoisCane   Mon Sep 08 2008 02:33 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Random Chaos   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Wind Speeds and Category Hugh   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:36 AM
. * * Wind Speeds and Category danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Rasvar   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:05 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Mon Sep 08 2008 01:03 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical ftlaudbob   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:52 AM
. * * Re: why this is a possible problem Hugh   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:11 AM
. * * Re: why this is a possible problem Random Chaos   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:06 AM
. * * why this is a possible problem LoisCane   Mon Sep 08 2008 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Rasvar   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:35 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Thunderbird12   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical smorse22   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical kromdog   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical JonB   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Colleen A.   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical JonB   Sun Sep 07 2008 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical doug   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical jf   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Myles   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical chase 22   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical jf   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical AdvAutoBob   Sun Sep 07 2008 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical WeatherNut   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 08:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:35 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Bev   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical rmiller1031   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:23 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Raymond   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:21 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical hurricane expert   Sun Sep 07 2008 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Random Chaos   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical pcola   Sun Sep 07 2008 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical danielwAdministrator   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:57 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:29 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical LoisCane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:44 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:32 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical flahurricane   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical RU12   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inagua, Hanna Extratropical vineyardsaker   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical Hugh   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical RU12   Sun Sep 07 2008 02:40 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical scottsvb   Sun Sep 07 2008 01:02 PM
. * * Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical smorse22   Sun Sep 07 2008 12:55 PM

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