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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)

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News Talkback >> 2008 News Talkbacks

Bloodstar
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Reged:
Posts: 463
Loc: Tucson, AZ

Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas
Wed Sep 24 2008 03:03 PM

Quote:

NHC stated the following...
THE LOW IS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR AN AREA OF WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE WELL TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER.

So why not start advisories? It would appear this meets sub-tropical requirements at least and IMHO people take these situations more serious when actual watches and warnings are posted, they do not tend to see the whole picture and seriousness of it when no warnings are issued.

There are gale/storm warnings up for the coastal regions. But since the storm isn't considered a warm core storm by the NHC and doesn't have tropical characteristics, then it isn't a tropical storm or hurricane. (though this appears to be changing, see below)

It looks like 93L has begun to fire some convection near it's nominal center. but there's a lot of shear over top which will probably prevent it from developing in the near term.

94L is a bit more complex, it seems to be warm core right now, at least according to phase analysis. However the low pressure still appears to be coupled to the frontal zone, which normally precludes a storm from being considered tropical. However, that is also changing and the frontal zone appears to be breaking down, which would give the system a much stronger case for being considered tropica/sub tropical.

--------------------
M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
NOAA MADIS/HADS Programmer
U. Arizona PhD Student

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean.	MikeC	Wed Sep 24 2008 03:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean.	scottsvb	Mon Sep 29 2008 12:03 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean.	blizzardnut	Sat Sep 27 2008 04:55 PM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	MissBecky	Sat Sep 27 2008 03:46 PM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	Hugh	Sat Sep 27 2008 01:50 PM
Kyle	Thunderbird12	Sat Sep 27 2008 11:23 AM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	scottsvb	Fri Sep 26 2008 12:36 PM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	Raymond	Fri Sep 26 2008 01:00 AM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	metwannabe	Thu Sep 25 2008 08:11 PM
Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical	CoconutCandy	Thu Sep 25 2008 07:08 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	metwannabe	Thu Sep 25 2008 05:30 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 25 2008 04:36 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Lee-Delray	Thu Sep 25 2008 04:34 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	sailor	Thu Sep 25 2008 04:31 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	danielw	Thu Sep 25 2008 04:06 PM
What's in a Name? A Warm Core !!	CoconutCandy	Thu Sep 25 2008 03:37 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Rich B	Thu Sep 25 2008 03:31 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 25 2008 03:18 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Raymond	Thu Sep 25 2008 02:49 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Ed in Va	Thu Sep 25 2008 02:05 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	metwannabe	Thu Sep 25 2008 11:04 AM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	cieldumort	Thu Sep 25 2008 10:49 AM
Re: definitions	Raymond	Thu Sep 25 2008 09:17 AM
Re: definitions	Random Chaos	Thu Sep 25 2008 08:26 AM
definitions	vineyardsaker	Wed Sep 24 2008 10:48 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Hugh	Wed Sep 24 2008 07:50 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	LoisCane	Wed Sep 24 2008 07:38 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	cieldumort	Wed Sep 24 2008 03:08 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Bloodstar	Wed Sep 24 2008 03:03 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	metwannabe	Wed Sep 24 2008 02:31 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	LoisCane	Wed Sep 24 2008 02:19 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Marknole	Wed Sep 24 2008 02:10 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	Raymond	Wed Sep 24 2008 12:06 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	metwannabe	Wed Sep 24 2008 10:23 AM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas	metwannabe	Wed Sep 24 2008 09:09 AM

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