Been watching closely for hours now, in 94L's bit to attain tropical or at least sub-tropical status.
Pluses in it's favor:
As viewed with Water Vapor Imagery, the dry air intrusion previously working its way into the very center has abated, and a very narrow 'channel' of dry air has been shunted well to the north of the center of curculation.
This will make it much easier for the inner core thunderstorms to build to greater heights and release their copious loads of moisture into the mid and upper levels, helping to establish the all-important warm core discussed above. Remember: Unless that warm core is established, this system will remain 'just another low' off the coast, albiet an interesting one
Also, the inner ring of convection does appear to be stronger and organizing itself better now. Earlier, the most intense bands in the NW quad had swept ashore, and the remaining weaker bands appeared fragmanted and elongated east-to-west. I thought it had lost it's bid.
But since then, newer bands have developed with a smaller radius, and the system does indeed appear to moving nore northward.
Which is another plus. A few hours ago, when the storm appeared to moving NW or even WNW, I thought it would 'run out of room' before tropical transition could complete.
But on a more northerly trajectory, it would allow the center of circulation to linger a little longer over the warm gulf stream, and picking up all that warmth and moisture.
Finally, as the area enters nighttime, the usual 'diurnal convective max' may provide just the additional 'umph' to the inner thunderstorms, to really warm that core in earnest, quite possibly pushing the low over the 'Tropical' threshold criteria to a landfalling 'Laura'. These next 6-18 hours will be crucial in it's bid for cyclogenesis. Laters.
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Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical
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