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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#16A 7:00 pm EDT
15.6N 69.9W
Wind: 155MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Wnw at 22 mph
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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical
      Fri Sep 26 2008 12:36 PM

People in Florida to even Biloxi need to start paying attention to the BOC and southern gulf over the weekend. A low presure area is developing and I have a feeling this will be a pretty strong Tropical Storm when it comes into the NE GOM. This system will have a shear zone to it, but it will be moving NE along with the shear zone, so anotherwords, it wont hamper this too much, though most of the winds and rainfall will be near the center and to its east. Right now we are looking at possible TD by Sunday and TS by Monday. Wont make a landfall forecast yet cause its too early, Ill post that in the forecast lounge. Right now I give this system a 50% chance of developing, 30% of being a TS by late Monday or Tuesday and 20% of a weak hurricane...but whats weak?

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean. MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 26 2008 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean. scottsvb   Mon Sep 29 2008 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Kyle Forms North of the Caribbean. blizzardnut   Sat Sep 27 2008 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical MissBecky   Sat Sep 27 2008 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical Hugh   Sat Sep 27 2008 01:50 PM
. * * Kyle Thunderbird12   Sat Sep 27 2008 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical scottsvb   Fri Sep 26 2008 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical Raymond   Fri Sep 26 2008 01:00 AM
. * * Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical metwannabe   Thu Sep 25 2008 08:11 PM
. * * Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical CoconutCandy   Thu Sep 25 2008 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas metwannabe   Thu Sep 25 2008 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 25 2008 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Lee-Delray   Thu Sep 25 2008 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas sailor   Thu Sep 25 2008 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas danielwAdministrator   Thu Sep 25 2008 04:06 PM
. * * What's in a Name? A Warm Core !! CoconutCandy   Thu Sep 25 2008 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Rich B   Thu Sep 25 2008 03:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Thunderbird12   Thu Sep 25 2008 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Raymond   Thu Sep 25 2008 02:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Ed in Va   Thu Sep 25 2008 02:05 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas metwannabe   Thu Sep 25 2008 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas cieldumort   Thu Sep 25 2008 10:49 AM
. * * Re: definitions Raymond   Thu Sep 25 2008 09:17 AM
. * * Re: definitions Random Chaos   Thu Sep 25 2008 08:26 AM
. * * definitions vineyardsaker   Wed Sep 24 2008 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Hugh   Wed Sep 24 2008 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 24 2008 07:38 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas cieldumort   Wed Sep 24 2008 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Bloodstar   Wed Sep 24 2008 03:03 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas metwannabe   Wed Sep 24 2008 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas LoisCane   Wed Sep 24 2008 02:19 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Marknole   Wed Sep 24 2008 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas Raymond   Wed Sep 24 2008 12:06 PM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas metwannabe   Wed Sep 24 2008 10:23 AM
. * * Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas metwannabe   Wed Sep 24 2008 09:09 AM

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