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Cat 3 Ian likely to intensify further *into* landfall. Major flooding/surge has begun w/Key West hitting 3rd all time high still rising
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 9 (Fiona) , Major: 394 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1448 (Michael) Major: 1448 (Michael)
25.2N 83.0W
Wind: 120MPH
Pres: 953mb
Nne at 10 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2008 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 461
Loc: Georgia Tech
      Mon Nov 24 2008 12:33 AM

it has a shot, T numbers at 1.0/1.0 which is fairly insignificant, but certainly indicative of some organization.

Personally I'd give it about a 50/50 shot of developing into a TD in the next 24 hours.

Let's see how the convection develops over the nighttime hours, the extremely cold cloud tops are part of the reason I give the system a high chance of classification.

M. S. Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Tech - May 2020
Brookhaven National Laboratory, Feb 2022
U. Arizona PhD program starting August 2022

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* INVEST 96L TAG NOW ON SW CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE cieldumort Mon Nov 24 2008 12:33 AM
. * * Re: INVEST 96L TAG NOW ON SW CARIBBEAN DISTURBANCE Bloodstar   Mon Nov 24 2008 12:33 AM

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