Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

The Atlantic is quiet

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 46 (Milton) , Major: 46 (Milton) Florida - Any: 46 (Milton) Major: 46 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

News Talkback >> 2009 Storm Forum

Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)

Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL

Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009
Sun Apr 05 2009 04:05 PM

The ENSO forecast remains unchanged with Neutral to slightly above normal SST conditions expected in the tropical eastern Pacific, but the Atlantic outlook has changed with slightly below normal SST conditions expected for the entire hurricane season in the tropical Atlantic south of 20N, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico. Given the massive amount of Sahara dust currently blowing off of western Africa and extending all the way to northeastern South America, the cooler than normal SST forecast may well be justified.

1989 and 1996 now seem to be the best analog years. With ENSO Neutral conditions and a cooler tropical Atlantic, I've lowered my forecast for the season to 12/7/3 - a normal to just slightly above normal season. If the western African area remains dry and dusty into June, there would be a better probability for even lower numbers rather than higher ones.This thread will remain open though May 31st so that you can post your own forecasts and/or revisions.

TSR issues their Atlantic basin forecast on 4/6/09 and CSU follows with their forecast on 4/7/09.
Cheers,
ED

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Tropical Outlook For 2009	Ed Dunham	Sun Apr 05 2009 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	cieldumort	Sun May 31 2009 06:34 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	madmumbler	Fri May 22 2009 07:59 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Valandil	Wed Apr 29 2009 04:11 AM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Doombot!	Sat Apr 25 2009 09:48 AM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	scottsvb1	Wed Apr 29 2009 03:33 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Cat 5orBust	Wed Apr 29 2009 09:03 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Storm Hunter	Tue May 05 2009 10:47 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	JAH	Mon Apr 27 2009 04:24 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Ed Dunham	Sun Apr 05 2009 04:05 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Ed Dunham	Fri May 29 2009 09:43 AM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Ed Dunham	Mon Jun 01 2009 12:40 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Wingman51	Fri May 29 2009 10:22 AM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	MikeC	Fri May 29 2009 07:36 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Ed Dunham	Tue Apr 07 2009 11:24 AM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	MichaelA	Sat Apr 18 2009 08:51 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Hurricane29	Mon Apr 06 2009 07:20 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Bloodstar	Thu Mar 26 2009 05:54 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Hurricane29	Mon Mar 30 2009 10:33 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	jessiej	Sat Mar 21 2009 10:09 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	Storm Cooper	Thu Mar 05 2009 01:41 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	CaneTrackerInSoFl	Fri Jan 30 2009 03:35 PM
Re: Tropical Outlook For 2009	GlenJohnson	Mon Feb 02 2009 01:31 PM

Extra information

0 registered and 0 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 23660

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center