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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Couple of areas
      Mon Jul 27 2009 09:35 PM

1st: Looks a bit interesting in the Bay of Campeche today with little vertical shear. There appears to be some circulation, but whether it is at the surface, I can't tell from the vis. sat. loop.

2nd: The wave that has moved off the coast of Africa still has fairly good convection associated with it. Whether that holds up for the next couple of days will be a determining factor for possible development.

3rd: The wave in the mid-Atlantic has a good signature, but there is some shear over that area.

--------------------
Michael

PWS

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* Couple of areas MichaelA Mon Jul 27 2009 09:35 PM

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