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Tonight "the calm before the storm" and time to finish preps. Even now, high precipitable water and instability values ahead of Beryl are triggering flash flood threats with rainfall rates up to over 3"/Hr #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 311 (Idalia) , Major: 311 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 311 (Idalia) Major: 311 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#34A 7:00 am EDT
24.9N 94.3W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 995mb
Moving:
Nw at 13 mph
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News Talkback >> 2009 Forecast Lounge
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mwillis
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 68
Loc: Cape canaveral
Re: Admin Note
      Sat Aug 15 2009 10:30 PM

Quote:

"I will go on a limb and theorize that the wave will be a cat2 by tomorrow afternoon"

This is the type of post that we don't encourage on CFHC. Remember that the by-line for CFHC is Hurricanes without the Hype. This system is likely to be ashore in about a day and a half - two at the most. It is VERY disorganized in structure and by the time it gains any real organization it will be close to landfall. Is a TS possible from this system - of course. Is a Cat II Hurricane likely out of this system? Of course not! We try not to scare folks here with unwarranted hype, so please, everybody calm down and take a deep breath.

Its certainly a good idea to review your storm preparation checklist (or to make one), but do it for the systems that are currently east of us, i.e., Ana and Bill.
Thanks,
ED



Sorry, Im calm, just thought the forecast lounge was for putting ideas out their like the posts on Bill

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Forcast for GOM wave mwillis Sat Aug 15 2009 10:30 PM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 15 2009 10:23 PM
. * * Re: Admin Note mwillis   Sat Aug 15 2009 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 15 2009 10:54 PM
. * * Re: Admin Note mwillis   Sat Aug 15 2009 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Admin Note MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 16 2009 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Admin Note Johncn   Sun Aug 16 2009 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Forcast for GOM wave kevin_1   Sat Aug 15 2009 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Forcast for GOM wave MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 15 2009 10:10 PM

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