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Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 83 (Nicholas) , Major: 99 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1153 (Michael) Major: 1153 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2009 News Talkbacks

Hugh
Senior Storm Chaser


Reged: Fri
Posts: 1060
Loc: Okaloosa County, Florida
Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US
      Thu Aug 20 2009 10:37 AM

Quote:

You're right on the 5:00 discussion...sort of wierd...why not change the track if you think it's not right??
IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT BILL WILL
PROBABLY NOT TURN AS SHARPLY BETWEEN 72-96 HR AS IMPLIED BY THE
TRACK GRAPHIC...AND THUS IS LIKELY TO PASS CLOSER TO NEW ENGLAND
THAN THE GRAPHIC WOULD SUGGEST.
Also, what are the implications with the slight weakening...will this make the recurvature less pronounced?




They did not say they did not think the forecast was right.
They said Bill will probably not turn as sharply as IMPLIED by the track graphic.
The track grahic marks the specific predicted location at 72 hours, and again at 96 hours,
and a straight line is drawn between the two points. What the discussion is noting is that
the movement between 72 and 96 hours is not likely to be a straight line between those two points,
but rather a gradual curve, which could put the circulation closer to the coast between 72 hours and 96 hours.

--------------------
Hugh

Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)


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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 20 2009 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 23 2009 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sun Aug 23 2009 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday scottsvb   Sun Aug 23 2009 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday JoshuaK   Sun Aug 23 2009 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MichaelA   Sat Aug 22 2009 05:24 PM
. * * Week Ahead danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 22 2009 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sat Aug 22 2009 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Bill weakens some more, No Direct Impact to New England Kent   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:52 PM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:44 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast Ed in Va   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill presentation doug   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast LoisCane   Fri Aug 21 2009 08:44 AM
. * * MJO Forecast danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US M.A.   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:45 AM
. * * Bill at Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Hugh   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Bill weakens Some, New England/Canada Needs to Watch blizzardnut   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US JoshuaK   Wed Aug 19 2009 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US craigm   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Thunderbird12   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US sailor   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US gatorman   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Tropicbird   Wed Aug 19 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US berserkr   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:05 AM

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