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Today is the last day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. 8 landfalls including Ida, but no landfalls in the late season.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 83 (Nicholas) , Major: 99 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1153 (Michael) Major: 1153 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2009 News Talkbacks

danielwAdministrator
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Reged: Wed
Posts: 3524
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
MJO Forecast
      Fri Aug 21 2009 07:28 AM

THE MJO FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUSLY
INDICATED/DISCUSSED...WITH BOTH CFS AND EWP MODELS SHOWING
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS (NEGATIVE ANOMALIES) PERSISTING THROUGH THE
END OF AUGUST. THEY...HOWEVER...CONTINUE TO DIVERGE ON BEST
LOCATION...WITH THE CFS FAVORING THE CARIBBEAN/NORTHERN SOUTH
AMERICA AND THE EWP THE ATLANTIC BASIN. THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
HAVE SETTLED ON A LULL IN ACTIVITY...AS THEY NO LONGER SHOW
TROPICAL SYSTEMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE DOMAIN. THEY TRY TO RELEASE
AVAILABLE ENERGY IN THE FORM OF HEAVY RAINFALL EVENTS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE MANY TUTTS AND ALONG THE NEAR EQUATORIAL
TROUGH/ ITCZ...WITH MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN
VENEZUELA-NORTHERN HALF OF COLOMBIA AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/PMDCA

EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
201 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

VALID 12Z SUN AUG 23 2009 - 12Z THU AUG 27 2009
edited
TROPICS..HURCN BILL MOVES NWD GETTING AS FAR WEST 68W-69W WITH
VERY HEAVY SWELL AND SURF IMPACTING THE EAST COAST WITH HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS AFFECTING NEW ENGLAND AND INTO MARITIME CANADA DAYS
3 AND 4. CHI VELOCITY ANOMALY INDICATES THAT THE ATLANTIC BECOME
RELATIVELY UNFAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WITH SOME
CONSENSUS OF A WAVE MOVING THE BAHAMAS REGION LATE PERIOD BUT THE
EPAC WILL BE UNDER HIGHLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS AND MODELS GENERATE
AT LEAST 3 SYSTEMS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE TIME FRAME.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/PMDEPD

Edited by danielw (Fri Aug 21 2009 07:36 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 21 2009 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday OrlandoDan   Sun Aug 23 2009 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sun Aug 23 2009 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday scottsvb   Sun Aug 23 2009 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday JoshuaK   Sun Aug 23 2009 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday MichaelA   Sat Aug 22 2009 05:24 PM
. * * Week Ahead danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 22 2009 02:25 PM
. * * Re: Bill Could Brush Nova Scotia as a Cat I on Sunday blizzardnut   Sat Aug 22 2009 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Bill weakens some more, No Direct Impact to New England Kent   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:52 PM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast scottsvb   Fri Aug 21 2009 11:44 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast Ed in Va   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill presentation doug   Fri Aug 21 2009 09:36 AM
. * * Re: MJO Forecast LoisCane   Fri Aug 21 2009 08:44 AM
. * * MJO Forecast danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:28 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US M.A.   Fri Aug 21 2009 07:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 20 2009 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:45 AM
. * * Bill at Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 20 2009 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:58 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US hogrunr   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Hugh   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Thu Aug 20 2009 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Bill weakens Some, New England/Canada Needs to Watch blizzardnut   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:41 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:17 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Thu Aug 20 2009 09:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Random Chaos   Wed Aug 19 2009 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US JoshuaK   Wed Aug 19 2009 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US WeatherNut   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US craigm   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MichaelA   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Fairhopian   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Ed in Va   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Thunderbird12   Wed Aug 19 2009 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:47 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US sailor   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:33 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US gatorman   Wed Aug 19 2009 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Beach   Wed Aug 19 2009 01:28 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US doug   Wed Aug 19 2009 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US Tropicbird   Wed Aug 19 2009 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US LoisCane   Wed Aug 19 2009 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Bill a Category Four Hurricane, Likely No Threat to US berserkr   Wed Aug 19 2009 07:05 AM

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